RallyIQ

ATP · Left-handed · 3 charted matches · 1991–1996

Alexander Volkov

Against an average opponent

Serve points won 62.1% ±3.8 raw 60.6% · tour 63.4% · 350 points
Return points won 37.6% ±3.9 raw 33.0% · tour 36.6% · 309 points

Serve and return points won, refitted against every opponent at once so a record built on weak or strong opposition is put on the same scale. Career, all surfaces, with a 90% margin. Raw is the plain share of points won.

Serve under pressure

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 38% 67% ▲ 76% / 73%
Body 12% 11% 68% / 63%
T 50% 22% ▼ 68% / 75%

163 normal · 9 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 44% 68% ▲ 69% / 73%
Body 16% 14% 64% / 63%
T 40% 18% ▼ 76% / 72%

131 normal · 28 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. No measurable response (−0.05 ± 0.15 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage), measured from ATP servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide40% 55.5%±8.3 n=68
Body12% 59.1%±11.3 n=21
T48% 58.7%±7.6 n=83

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.80).

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide48% 61.3%±7.7 n=77
Body16% 56.9%±11.0 n=25
T36% 63.3%±8.5 n=57

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.56).

Repeating the previous direction to the same court: −6.6±3.1 points per 100 against switching. Negative means returners read repeats. Tour-wide, repeating costs women about 0.4 points per 100 and costs men nothing, so men's returners don't measurably anticipate direction. (133 repeats, 192 switches.)

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 1 36% −1.2±14.2
1stAd courtT 41 27% −0.7±8.7
1stAd courtWide 48 27% −0.1±8.3
1stDeuce courtBody 2 38% +0.8±14.1
1stDeuce courtT 48 25% ±0.0±8.1
1stDeuce courtWide 32 26% −1.1±9.2
2ndAd courtBody 13 48% −1.0±12.5
2ndAd courtT 21 45% −4.6±11.5
2ndAd courtWide 16 45% −3.8±12.1
2ndDeuce courtBody 9 48% −1.1±13.2
2ndDeuce courtT 38 51% +1.6±10.0
2ndDeuce courtWide 25 48% ±0.0±11.1

Charted matches