RallyIQ

WTA · Right-handed · 6 charted matches · 2025–2026

Darja Vidmanova

Against an average opponent

Serve points won 56.3% ±4.1 raw 57.2% · tour 56.3% · 360 points
Return points won 45.0% ±4.1 raw 46.4% · tour 43.7% · 379 points

Serve and return points won, refitted against every opponent at once so a record built on weak or strong opposition is put on the same scale. Career, all surfaces, with a 90% margin. Raw is the plain share of points won.

Shot expected value

The share of points Darja Vidmanova goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side

position worth 45% to the average player · 120 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH through the middle 53% 33.3%±8.5 43.3%
BH crosscourt 27% 51.0%±11.4 47.6%
BH down the line 10% 41.7%±14.3 46.8%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your forehand side

position worth 43% to the average player · 100 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH through the middle 36% 48.7%±11.0 41.3%
FH crosscourt 29% 47.7%±11.7 46.7%
FH slice crosscourt 13% 28.5%±12.9 31.9%
FH slice through the middle 12% 30.8%±13.4 29.2%
FH down the line 10% 39.9%±14.7 44.9%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your middle

position worth 50% to the average player · 89 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH through the middle 25% 45.8%±12.6 46.2%
FH down the line 25% 43.9%±12.6 52.2%
FH through the middle 19% 43.7%±13.4 45.8%
FH crosscourt 17% 41.6%±13.7 52.7%

Long rally, 9+: drive to your backhand side

position worth 44% to the average player · 82 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH through the middle 55% 47.0%±10.2 42.7%
BH crosscourt 34% 40.8%±11.7 47.9%

Serve under pressure

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 50% 62% ▲ 61% / 66%
Body 19% 15% 57% / 57%
T 31% 23% ▼ 68% / 68%

175 normal · 13 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 51% 55% 69% / 66%
Body 11% 10% 53% / 56%
T 38% 35% 64% / 64%

145 normal · 20 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. A direction loses 0.19 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage, measured from WTA servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide51% 54.8%±7.3 n=95
Body19% 53.7%±10.2 n=35
T31% 64.0%±8.4 n=58

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.17).

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide52% 56.9%±7.6 n=85
Body11% 52.0%±11.9 n=18
T38% 59.7%±8.4 n=62

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.41).

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 27 41% −3.2±10.7
1stAd courtT 33 33% −2.7±9.7
1stAd courtWide 53 38% +3.3±8.8
1stDeuce courtBody 38 41% −1.8±9.8
1stDeuce courtT 30 36% +3.9±10.2
1stDeuce courtWide 54 41% +6.7±8.8
2ndAd courtBody 27 50% −5.0±10.9
2ndAd courtT 23 56% +0.6±11.2
2ndAd courtWide 16 54% +0.9±12.1
2ndDeuce courtBody 38 58% +3.4±9.9
2ndDeuce courtT 12 59% +3.0±12.5
2ndDeuce courtWide 24 61% +7.6±10.9

Signature patterns

Recurring sequences that win more than Darja Vidmanova's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.

Serve → +1

  1. Not enough data

Return

  1. Not enough data

Rally, consecutive own shots

  1. BH through the middle → BH through the middle used 12.5% · won 46% · +0.8±9.5 vs own baseline
  2. BH crosscourt → BH through the middle used 6.7% · won 45% · +0.2±11.5 vs own baseline
  3. FH through the middle → BH through the middle used 7.3% · won 43% · −1.5±11.2 vs own baseline
  4. BH through the middle → FH through the middle used 9.2% · won 41% · −4.1±10.4 vs own baseline

Discovered sequences

Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Darja Vidmanova wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.

  1. BH through the middle → FH crosscourt → BH through the middle used 1.8% · won 41% · −1.3±12.4 vs own baseline · −4.8 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Alexandra Vagramov (7/18)

Strengths and vulnerabilities

Value per 100 shots compared with the average player hitting (strengths) or facing (vulnerabilities) the same shot. Only shot types seen at least 120 times.

Hurts opponents most with

BH to the middle · rally+3.5176

Most exposed to

FH to their backhand · rally−5.8195
FH to their forehand · rally−2.7185

Active players who are best at the shot in the top weakness: Clara Burel, Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva, Sara Sorribes Tormo, Arianne Hartono, Angelique Kerber

Charted matches