RallyIQ

ATP · Right-handed · 3 charted matches · 1985–1988

Martin Jaite

Against an average opponent

Serve points won 62.0% ±4.2 raw 53.3% · tour 63.4% · 319 points
Return points won 38.4% ±4.2 raw 38.8% · tour 36.6% · 309 points

Serve and return points won, refitted against every opponent at once so a record built on weak or strong opposition is put on the same scale. Career, all surfaces, with a 90% margin. Raw is the plain share of points won.

Shot expected value

The share of points Martin Jaite goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.

Long rally, 9+: drive to your backhand side

position worth 46% to the average player · 183 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 39% 33.3%±8.1 48.0%
BH through the middle 21% 42.7%±10.7 43.8%
FH inside-out 17% 46.1%±11.5 52.6%
BH down the line 7% 44.7%±14.5 46.5%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side

position worth 46% to the average player · 155 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 46% 45.1%±8.5 47.6%
BH through the middle 24% 48.7%±10.9 43.7%
FH inside-out 15% 54.3%±12.5 51.8%
FH through the middle 7% 45.3%±14.7 45.2%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your middle

position worth 51% to the average player · 117 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH through the middle 24% 40.4%±11.7 47.0%
BH through the middle 24% 46.6%±11.8 46.8%
FH down the line 20% 44.9%±12.5 51.5%
BH crosscourt 11% 51.0%±14.3 49.1%
FH down the line + approach 9% 73.7%±13.2 70.5%

Long rally, 9+: drive to your middle

position worth 51% to the average player · 78 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH down the line 24% 36.9%±12.7 52.0%
FH through the middle 22% 47.2%±13.5 47.4%
BH through the middle 21% 45.4%±13.7 46.8%
BH crosscourt 15% 46.6%±14.5 49.6%

Serve under pressure

Pressure predictability index −3 How much less varied Martin Jaite's first-serve direction gets on break points. Positive means easier to read. Based on 45 break-point first serves.

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 45% 20% ▼ 58% / 73%
Body 17% 40% ▲ 58% / 63%
T 38% 40% 75% / 75%

150 normal · 15 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 52% 47% 64% / 73%
Body 22% 30% ▲ 54% / 63%
T 26% 23% 70% / 72%

123 normal · 30 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. No measurable response (−0.05 ± 0.15 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage), measured from ATP servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide42% 49.6%±8.2 n=70
Body19% 56.1%±10.4 n=32
T38% 60.5%±8.3 n=63

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.18).

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide51% 52.1%±7.9 n=78
Body24% 45.0%±10.1 n=36
T25% 57.3%±9.8 n=39

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.16).

Repeating the previous direction to the same court: +2.2±8.3 points per 100 against switching. Negative means returners read repeats. Tour-wide, repeating costs women about 0.4 points per 100 and costs men nothing, so men's returners don't measurably anticipate direction. (124 repeats, 188 switches.)

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 6 39% +2.2±13.4
1stAd courtT 20 29% +0.8±10.5
1stAd courtWide 45 22% −5.7±7.8
1stDeuce courtBody 10 38% +0.8±12.6
1stDeuce courtT 39 25% +0.3±8.6
1stDeuce courtWide 31 31% +4.2±9.8
2ndAd courtBody 18 45% −3.9±11.8
2ndAd courtT 5 48% −1.3±13.9
2ndAd courtWide 52 45% −3.8±9.0
2ndDeuce courtBody 30 56% +7.2±10.5
2ndDeuce courtT 35 54% +4.0±10.2
2ndDeuce courtWide 12 46% −1.8±12.7

Signature patterns

Recurring sequences that win more than Martin Jaite's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.

Serve → +1

  1. Not enough data

Return

  1. Not enough data

Rally, consecutive own shots

  1. FH direction unknown → BH direction unknown used 6.3% · won 48% · +5.1±10.6 vs own baseline
  2. BH through the middle → BH through the middle used 4.9% · won 47% · +3.9±11.3 vs own baseline
  3. BH direction unknown → FH direction unknown used 6.3% · won 47% · +3.4±10.6 vs own baseline
  4. BH through the middle → FH through the middle used 5.3% · won 45% · +2.2±11.1 vs own baseline
  5. BH crosscourt → BH through the middle used 5.9% · won 45% · +1.6±10.7 vs own baseline

Discovered sequences

Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Martin Jaite wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.

  1. BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt → FH inside-out used 1.8% · won 50% · +4.1±12.3 vs own baseline · +4.2 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Mats Wilander (5/11), Ivan Lendl (6/9)
  2. BH through the middle → FH down the line → BH crosscourt used 2.0% · won 48% · +2.0±12.0 vs own baseline · +3.3 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Ivan Lendl (6/13), Mats Wilander (5/9)
  3. BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt → BH through the middle used 1.6% · won 47% · +1.8±12.6 vs own baseline · +4.7 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Ivan Lendl (7/13)
  4. FH down the line → BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 1.3% · won 41% · −4.6±12.9 vs own baseline · −15.6 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Ivan Lendl (5/11)
  5. BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 2.7% · won 39% · −6.7±10.8 vs own baseline · −15.1 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Ivan Lendl (5/21), Mats Wilander (5/9)

Strengths and vulnerabilities

Value per 100 shots compared with the average player hitting (strengths) or facing (vulnerabilities) the same shot. Only shot types seen at least 120 times.

Hurts opponents most with

BH to their backhand · rally+1.9207
BH to the middle · rally+1.3132
FH to their backhand · rally−1.3157

Most exposed to

BH to their backhand · rally−2.1207
FH to the middle · rally−1.4132
FH to their backhand · rally−0.7157

Active players who are best at the shot in the top weakness: Richard Gasquet, Nishesh Basavareddy, Arthur Cazaux, Jaume Munar, Daniel Evans

Charted matches