RallyIQ

WTA · Right-handed · 4 charted matches · 2022–2026

Taylah Preston

Shot expected value

The share of points Taylah Preston goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your middle

position worth 50% to the average player · 79 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 29% 52.4%±12.5 52.7%
BH through the middle 23% 48.0%±13.3 46.2%
FH through the middle 20% 47.6%±13.7 45.8%
BH crosscourt 15% 56.8%±14.4 50.9%
FH down the line 13% 54.8%±14.9 52.2%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your forehand side

position worth 43% to the average player · 78 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH through the middle 44% 35.7%±10.7 41.3%
FH crosscourt 32% 45.2%±12.2 46.7%
FH down the line 24% 46.1%±13.1 44.9%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side

position worth 45% to the average player · 53 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 57% 49.0%±11.6 47.6%
BH through the middle 43% 41.1%±12.3 43.3%

Return +1: drive to your middle

position worth 50% to the average player · 47 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH through the middle 26% 44.7%±14.5 46.5%
BH through the middle 23% 42.7%±14.6 46.2%
FH down the line 21% 58.7%±14.8 53.0%

Serve under pressure

Pressure predictability index +4 How much less varied Taylah Preston's first-serve direction gets on break points. Positive means easier to read. Based on 41 break-point first serves.

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 39% 56% ▲ 66% / 66%
Body 38% 33% 54% / 57%
T 23% 11% ▼ 65% / 68%

145 normal · 9 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 32% 38% 60% / 66%
Body 38% 25% ▼ 58% / 56%
T 30% 38% 58% / 64%

111 normal · 32 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. A direction loses 0.19 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage, measured from WTA servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide40% 53.6%±8.6 n=62
Body38% 50.6%±8.8 n=58
T22% 54.0%±10.2 n=34

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.83).

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide34% 51.7%±9.3 n=48
Body35% 51.0%±9.2 n=50
T31% 46.1%±9.5 n=45

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.61).

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 20 44% +0.4±11.6
1stAd courtT 34 34% −1.7±9.7
1stAd courtWide 26 40% +5.4±10.8
1stDeuce courtBody 26 46% +3.4±11.0
1stDeuce courtT 18 35% +2.5±11.3
1stDeuce courtWide 36 31% −3.4±9.3
2ndAd courtBody 22 53% −2.1±11.4
2ndAd courtT 18 51% −4.0±11.9
2ndAd courtWide 17 53% −0.2±12.0
2ndDeuce courtBody 46 56% +1.3±9.4
2ndDeuce courtT 9 56% −0.1±13.1
2ndDeuce courtWide 14 53% −1.2±12.4

Signature patterns

Recurring sequences that win more than Taylah Preston's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.

Serve → +1

  1. Not enough data

Return

  1. Not enough data

Rally, consecutive own shots

  1. FH direction unknown → FH direction unknown used 15.9% · won 48% · −1.9±11.5 vs own baseline

Discovered sequences

Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Taylah Preston wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.

  1. BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 2.5% · won 52% · +5.0±13.1 vs own baseline · +11.4 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Iva Jovic (4/6), Arianne Hartono (5/6)
  2. FH through the middle → FH crosscourt → FH through the middle used 2.5% · won 47% · ±0.0±13.1 vs own baseline · +5.5 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Arianne Hartono (1/6), Iva Jovic (6/9)

Charted matches