WTA · Right-handed · 2 charted matches · 1985–1986
Claudia Kohde Kilsch
Shot expected value
The share of points Claudia Kohde Kilsch goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.
Long rally, 9+: slice to your backhand side
position worth 53% to the average player · 120 shots
| Option | Used | Win % | Tour |
|---|---|---|---|
| BH slice crosscourt | 73% | 47.8%±7.9 | 45.9% |
| BH slice down the line | 15% | 41.7%±13.2 | 44.2% |
| BH crosscourt | 8% | 42.0%±14.8 | 53.0% |
Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your forehand side
position worth 43% to the average player · 50 shots
| Option | Used | Win % | Tour |
|---|---|---|---|
| FH crosscourt | 42% | 39.9%±12.6 | 46.7% |
| FH down the line | 38% | 38.4%±12.8 | 44.9% |
| FH through the middle | 20% | 47.5%±15.0 | 41.3% |
Serve under pressure
Deuce court
| 1st serve | Usage | Break pt | Won when in |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide | 34% | 17% ▼ | 69% / 66% |
| Body | 40% | 50% ▲ | 54% / 57% |
| T | 26% | 33% | 59% / 68% |
93 normal · 6 break-point 1st serves
Ad court
| 1st serve | Usage | Break pt | Won when in |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide | 19% | 22% | 67% / 66% |
| Body | 42% | 39% | 55% / 56% |
| T | 38% | 39% | 56% / 64% |
78 normal · 18 break-point 1st serves
Is the serve mix in equilibrium?
Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. A direction loses 0.19 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage, measured from WTA servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.
Deuce court
| 1st serve | Usage | Points won |
|---|---|---|
| Wide | 33% | 59.9%±10.2 n=33 |
| Body | 40% | 52.2%±9.8 n=40 |
| T | 26% | 48.1%±11.0 n=26 |
Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.16).
Ad court
| 1st serve | Usage | Points won |
|---|---|---|
| Wide | 20% | 43.9%±11.7 n=19 |
| Body | 42% | 47.7%±9.8 n=40 |
| T | 39% | 42.4%±9.9 n=37 |
Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.69).
Return by serve direction
Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.
| Serve | Court | Direction | Points | Won | vs tour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | Ad court | Body | 10 | 45% | +1.5±13.0 | |
| 1st | Ad court | T | 8 | 33% | −2.2±12.6 | |
| 1st | Ad court | Wide | 40 | 40% | +6.0±9.7 | |
| 1st | Deuce court | Body | 26 | 39% | −3.7±10.7 | |
| 1st | Deuce court | T | 25 | 34% | +1.8±10.5 | |
| 1st | Deuce court | Wide | 18 | 34% | −0.3±11.2 | |
| 2nd | Ad court | Body | 16 | 62% | +6.9±11.8 | |
| 2nd | Ad court | T | 1 | 56% | +1.5±14.6 | |
| 2nd | Ad court | Wide | 8 | 55% | +1.9±13.3 | |
| 2nd | Deuce court | Body | 17 | 56% | +1.6±11.9 | |
| 2nd | Deuce court | T | 4 | 58% | +2.2±13.9 | |
| 2nd | Deuce court | Wide | 5 | 49% | −4.8±13.9 |
Signature patterns
Recurring sequences that win more than Claudia Kohde Kilsch's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.
Serve → +1
- Not enough data
Return
- vs wide serve (ad court) → BH slice crosscourt, mid used 100.0% · won 56% · ±0.0±0.0 vs own baseline
Rally, consecutive own shots
- BH slice crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 12.8% · won 48% · +3.6±10.4 vs own baseline
- FH down the line → BH slice crosscourt used 10.3% · won 48% · +3.4±11.1 vs own baseline
- BH slice crosscourt → BH slice crosscourt used 22.6% · won 45% · +0.7±8.3 vs own baseline
- BH slice crosscourt → BH slice down the line used 10.7% · won 43% · −1.0±10.9 vs own baseline
- FH crosscourt → BH slice crosscourt used 9.1% · won 39% · −5.3±11.3 vs own baseline
Discovered sequences
Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Claudia Kohde Kilsch wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.
- BH slice crosscourt → BH slice down the line → FH crosscourt used 3.6% · won 49% · +4.9±12.0 vs own baseline · +5.4 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Steffi Graf (12/22)
- FH down the line → BH slice crosscourt → BH slice crosscourt used 4.3% · won 45% · +1.0±11.4 vs own baseline · +3.8 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Steffi Graf (12/26)
- BH slice crosscourt → BH slice crosscourt → BH slice down the line used 3.0% · won 44% · +0.1±12.5 vs own baseline · +0.9 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Steffi Graf (8/18)
- BH slice crosscourt → BH slice crosscourt → BH slice crosscourt used 8.5% · won 44% · ±0.0±9.1 vs own baseline · −2.7 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Steffi Graf (23/52)
- FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt → FH down the line used 3.1% · won 41% · −3.2±12.3 vs own baseline · −10.9 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Steffi Graf (7/15)
Strengths and vulnerabilities
Value per 100 shots compared with the average player hitting (strengths) or facing (vulnerabilities) the same shot. Only shot types seen at least 120 times.
Hurts opponents most with
| BH slice to their backhand · rally | +5.7 | 255 |
Most exposed to
| BH slice to their backhand · rally | −4.3 | 206 |
Active players who are best at the shot in the top weakness: Daria Kasatkina, Tatjana Maria, Karolina Muchova, Yulia Putintseva, Petra Martic