RallyIQ

WTA · Left-handed · 3 charted matches · 2019–2022

Ekaterine Gorgodze

Shot expected value

The share of points Ekaterine Gorgodze goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side

position worth 45% to the average player · 126 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH through the middle 33% 43.0%±10.3 43.3%
BH crosscourt 28% 44.6%±11.0 47.6%
BH down the line 17% 41.3%±12.5 46.8%
BH slice through the middle 10% 40.3%±14.3 34.4%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your middle

position worth 50% to the average player · 105 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 30% 54.9%±11.4 52.7%
FH down the line 26% 49.9%±12.0 52.2%
FH through the middle 15% 50.4%±13.7 45.8%
BH down the line 15% 41.7%±13.5 50.0%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your forehand side

position worth 43% to the average player · 79 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 49% 46.4%±10.7 46.7%
FH down the line 29% 39.5%±12.3 44.9%
FH through the middle 22% 44.0%±13.4 41.3%

Long rally, 9+: drive to your forehand side

position worth 44% to the average player · 55 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 42% 52.1%±12.5 47.0%
FH through the middle 29% 50.8%±13.7 41.5%
FH down the line 29% 45.2%±13.6 46.4%

Serve under pressure

Pressure predictability index −3 How much less varied Ekaterine Gorgodze's first-serve direction gets on break points. Positive means easier to read. Based on 44 break-point first serves.

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 26% 36% ▲ 56% / 66%
Body 43% 27% ▼ 55% / 57%
T 31% 36% 63% / 68%

126 normal · 11 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 47% 52% 61% / 66%
Body 40% 27% ▼ 45% / 56%
T 13% 21% ▲ 64% / 64%

91 normal · 33 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. A direction loses 0.19 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage, measured from WTA servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide27% 43.5%±10.0 n=37
Body42% 49.4%±8.8 n=57
T31% 48.7%±9.6 n=43

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.57).

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide48% 51.0%±8.7 n=60
Body36% 41.5%±9.4 n=45
T15% 47.1%±11.7 n=19

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.28).

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 38 46% +1.9±9.9
1stAd courtT 26 39% +3.1±10.7
1stAd courtWide 26 35% +0.1±10.5
1stDeuce courtBody 47 39% −3.9±9.1
1stDeuce courtT 20 35% +3.1±11.1
1stDeuce courtWide 23 40% +6.0±11.1
2ndAd courtBody 24 55% −0.4±11.1
2ndAd courtT 10 54% −1.3±13.0
2ndAd courtWide 3 49% −4.9±14.3
2ndDeuce courtBody 23 52% −2.9±11.3
2ndDeuce courtT 2 53% −3.5±14.5
2ndDeuce courtWide 21 55% +1.4±11.5

Signature patterns

Recurring sequences that win more than Ekaterine Gorgodze's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.

Serve → +1

  1. Not enough data

Return

  1. Not enough data

Rally, consecutive own shots

  1. FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 12.0% · won 59% · +7.9±11.0 vs own baseline

Discovered sequences

Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Ekaterine Gorgodze wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.

  1. FH crosscourt → BH through the middle → FH crosscourt used 1.8% · won 52% · +4.9±13.1 vs own baseline · +8.8 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Kristina Kucova (9/14)

Strengths and vulnerabilities

Value per 100 shots compared with the average player hitting (strengths) or facing (vulnerabilities) the same shot. Only shot types seen at least 120 times.

Hurts opponents most with

FH to their backhand · rally−2.0139
FH to their forehand · rally−4.0130

Most exposed to

FH to their backhand · rally−3.4150

Active players who are best at the shot in the top weakness: Clara Burel, Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva, Sara Sorribes Tormo, Arianne Hartono, Angelique Kerber

Charted matches