RallyIQ

ATP · Right-handed · 4 charted matches · 2019–2025

Elliot Benchetrit

Serve under pressure

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 48% 0% ▼ 70% / 73%
Body 16% 33% ▲ 63% / 63%
T 36% 67% ▲ 76% / 75%

135 normal · 6 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 40% 40% 68% / 73%
Body 11% 25% ▲ 60% / 63%
T 50% 35% ▼ 73% / 72%

111 normal · 20 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. No measurable response (−0.05 ± 0.15 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage), measured from ATP servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide46% 62.0%±8.2 n=65
Body16% 65.1%±10.8 n=23
T38% 69.0%±8.3 n=53

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.46).

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide40% 58.7%±8.9 n=52
Body13% 54.8%±11.9 n=17
T47% 57.2%±8.5 n=62

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.80).

Repeating the previous direction to the same court: −1.5±7.5 points per 100 against switching. Negative means returners read repeats. Tour-wide, repeating costs women about 0.4 points per 100 and costs men nothing, so men's returners don't measurably anticipate direction. (101 repeats, 163 switches.)

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 5 37% +0.4±13.5
1stAd courtT 30 29% +1.0±9.6
1stAd courtWide 41 28% +1.2±8.8
1stDeuce courtBody 5 34% −2.4±13.2
1stDeuce courtT 33 26% +1.2±9.1
1stDeuce courtWide 42 22% −4.7±8.1
2ndAd courtBody 9 48% −1.1±13.2
2ndAd courtT 9 40% −8.8±12.9
2ndAd courtWide 27 47% −1.9±10.9
2ndDeuce courtBody 16 49% +0.3±12.1
2ndDeuce courtT 22 42% −7.6±11.3
2ndDeuce courtWide 13 45% −2.9±12.5

Discovered sequences

Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Elliot Benchetrit wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.

  1. FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 3.3% · won 42% · −5.5±13.0 vs own baseline · −15.5 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Steve Darcis (5/10)

Charted matches