RallyIQ

ATP · Right-handed · 57 charted matches · 2008–2022

Gilles Simon

Archetype: Grinder · Ad-court T server

Against an average opponent

Serve points won 62.0% ±2.5 raw 59.7% · tour 63.4% · 4,806 points
Return points won 41.1% ±2.6 raw 38.2% · tour 36.6% · 4,814 points

Serve and return points won, refitted against every opponent at once so a record built on weak or strong opposition is put on the same scale. Career, all surfaces, with a 90% margin. Raw is the plain share of points won.

Value per 100 shots

Direction choice −0.03 ±0.06 better than 49% of ATP · raw −0.03
Shot selection −0.07 ±0.08 better than 44% of ATP · raw −0.07
Execution +1.17 ±0.30 better than 97% of ATP · raw +1.13
Tactical adaptability −0.03 first serves toward what's working, set to set · 57 matches
Adaptation speed +0.01 same, every two to three service games · per 100 first serves
Long-rally execution +0.14 ±0.37 shot 9 on v own earlier rally shots · 7,213 shots · better than 87% of ATP
Points left on the table 2.26 per 100 shots vs best direction · lower than 88% of ATP

Points gained per 100 shots compared with an average tour player in the same position, adjusted for the strength of the opponents faced, with a 90% margin (shots clustered by match). Raw is before the opponent adjustment. Built on 31,569 shots.

Shot expected value

The share of points Gilles Simon goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side

position worth 46% to the average player · 2,287 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 48% 51.1%±2.5 47.6%
BH through the middle 32% 46.8%±3.0 43.7%
BH down the line 12% 45.6%±4.8 46.4%
FH inside-out 3% 51.4%±8.3 51.8%
FH inside-in 1% 51.9%±11.9 54.7%
BH slice crosscourt 1% 31.1%±12.5 42.5%
BH slice through the middle 1% 30.6%±12.6 35.1%
BH down the line + approach 1% 63.6%±13.4 66.2%

Long rally, 9+: drive to your backhand side

position worth 46% to the average player · 2,237 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 54% 50.5%±2.4 48.0%
BH through the middle 27% 46.2%±3.3 43.8%
BH down the line 13% 49.8%±4.7 46.5%
FH inside-out 2% 58.6%±10.1 52.6%
BH slice crosscourt 1% 40.1%±11.3 42.1%
FH inside-in 1% 56.7%±13.8 54.3%
BH slice through the middle 1% 28.6%±12.6 35.1%
BH crosscourt + approach 0% 65.5%±14.0 66.6%

Long rally, 9+: drive to your forehand side

position worth 44% to the average player · 1,991 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 49% 53.7%±2.6 46.9%
FH through the middle 24% 45.6%±3.7 41.4%
FH down the line 15% 52.3%±4.6 44.8%
FH slice through the middle 5% 37.8%±7.5 25.4%
FH slice down the line 3% 37.9%±8.6 27.8%
FH slice crosscourt 3% 37.5%±9.5 31.2%
FH down the line + approach 1% 71.2%±13.2 68.9%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your forehand side

position worth 44% to the average player · 1,781 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 48% 50.8%±2.8 46.6%
FH through the middle 27% 50.0%±3.7 41.5%
FH down the line 15% 48.9%±4.8 44.7%
FH slice through the middle 3% 26.1%±8.1 24.5%
FH slice crosscourt 3% 43.5%±9.5 30.9%
FH slice down the line 3% 35.9%±9.4 25.6%

Serve under pressure

Pressure predictability index +2 How much less varied Gilles Simon's first-serve direction gets on break points. Positive means easier to read. Based on 495 break-point first serves.

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 52% 64% ▲ 66% / 73%
Body 7% 5% 57% / 63%
T 41% 31% ▼ 72% / 75%

2,368 normal · 128 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 38% 46% 67% / 73%
Body 9% 8% 64% / 63%
T 53% 45% 65% / 72%

1,913 normal · 367 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. No measurable response (−0.05 ± 0.15 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage), measured from ATP servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide53% 60.5%±2.2 n=1,318 66% ▲
Body7% 58.5%±5.8 n=167 0% ▼
T41% 60.0%±2.5 n=1,011 34% ▼

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.82).
Optimal mix: +0.2 per 100 first serves.

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide40% 58.7%±2.7 n=904 39%
Body9% 65.1%±5.2 n=197 22% ▲
T52% 57.9%±2.3 n=1,179 39% ▼

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.08).
Optimal mix: +0.3 per 100 first serves.

Exploitability 0.22 points per 100 first serves What the optimal mix would win over the current one, both courts. More exploitable than 100% of ATP servers. Tested on matches they weren't fitted on, ATP mixes picked this way win 0.33 per 100 first serves on average.

Repeating the previous direction to the same court: +1.2±2.5 points per 100 against switching. Negative means returners read repeats. Tour-wide, repeating costs women about 0.4 points per 100 and costs men nothing, so men's returners don't measurably anticipate direction. (1,911 repeats, 2,751 switches.)

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 107 38% +1.0±6.8
1stAd courtT 593 31% +2.5±3.0
1stAd courtWide 703 30% +2.9±2.8
1stDeuce courtBody 162 45% +8.1±5.9
1stDeuce courtT 598 24% −0.6±2.8
1stDeuce courtWide 780 28% +0.9±2.6
2ndAd courtBody 312 53% +3.2±4.4
2ndAd courtT 126 47% −2.0±6.6
2ndAd courtWide 444 51% +3.0±3.8
2ndDeuce courtBody 366 54% +5.0±4.1
2ndDeuce courtT 365 51% +1.4±4.1
2ndDeuce courtWide 229 50% +1.5±5.1

Signature patterns

Recurring sequences that win more than Gilles Simon's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.

Serve → +1

  1. Wide serve (deuce court) → FH down the line used 4.6% · won 61% · −0.8±5.2 vs own baseline
  2. T serve (deuce court) → FH crosscourt used 2.7% · won 58% · −3.7±6.6 vs own baseline
  3. T serve (deuce court) → FH down the line used 2.2% · won 57% · −4.4±7.1 vs own baseline
  4. Wide serve (ad court) → FH crosscourt used 2.3% · won 58% · −4.3±7.0 vs own baseline
  5. Wide serve (ad court) → BH crosscourt used 2.8% · won 56% · −6.2±6.6 vs own baseline

Return

  1. vs wide serve (ad court) → BH crosscourt, short used 3.4% · won 53% · +10.9±6.4 vs own baseline
  2. vs wide serve (deuce court) → FH through the middle, deep used 2.5% · won 54% · +12.5±7.3 vs own baseline
  3. vs wide serve (ad court) → BH crosscourt, deep used 2.4% · won 54% · +12.6±7.5 vs own baseline
  4. vs wide serve (deuce court) → FH crosscourt, mid used 2.2% · won 54% · +12.0±7.7 vs own baseline
  5. vs T serve (ad court) → FH through the middle, mid used 3.1% · won 49% · +7.4±6.7 vs own baseline

Rally, consecutive own shots

  1. BH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 5.4% · won 55% · +3.7±3.4 vs own baseline
  2. BH down the line → FH crosscourt used 2.7% · won 56% · +4.9±4.7 vs own baseline
  3. BH crosscourt → FH down the line used 1.8% · won 56% · +5.2±5.6 vs own baseline
  4. FH down the line → BH crosscourt used 3.1% · won 55% · +3.6±4.4 vs own baseline
  5. FH through the middle → BH crosscourt used 3.9% · won 53% · +1.9±4.0 vs own baseline

Discovered sequences

Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Gilles Simon wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.

  1. BH down the line → FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 0.9% · won 58% · +7.3±5.7 vs own baseline · +12.1 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Gael Monfils (2/6), Andy Murray (7/17)
  2. BH crosscourt → BH through the middle → FH crosscourt used 0.9% · won 57% · +6.3±5.9 vs own baseline · +5.1 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Alex De Minaur (3/8), Taylor Fritz (4/9)
  3. FH down the line → BH slice crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 0.6% · won 58% · +6.7±6.9 vs own baseline · +7.0 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Dominic Thiem (5/12), Milos Raonic (3/7)
  4. BH crosscourt → BH through the middle → FH down the line used 0.5% · won 58% · +7.1±7.6 vs own baseline · +8.6 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Roger Federer (6/17), Andy Murray (3/6)
  5. FH down the line → BH through the middle → FH down the line used 0.3% · won 58% · +7.2±8.6 vs own baseline · +8.2 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Alex De Minaur (3/7), Gael Monfils (4/8)
  6. BH crosscourt → BH down the line → FH crosscourt used 0.8% · won 56% · +4.7±6.2 vs own baseline · +8.9 vs tour on the same sequence

Strengths and vulnerabilities

Value per 100 shots compared with the average player hitting (strengths) or facing (vulnerabilities) the same shot. Only shot types seen at least 120 times.

Hurts opponents most with

FH to their backhand · return +1+3.2290
FH slice to their backhand · rally+2.9205
BH to the middle · return+2.7947
BH to their backhand · return+2.6760
FH slice to the middle · rally+2.5209

Most exposed to

FH to the middle · return−3.7894
FH to their forehand · return−3.5479
BH slice to the middle · return−3.5289
BH slice to their forehand · rally−3.1245
T 2nd serve · ad court−2.9126

Active players who are best at the shot in the top weakness: Roman Safiullin, Tomas Machac, Miomir Kecmanovic, Roberto Bautista Agut, Tommy Paul

Tactical fingerprint

Each bar shows how far a style trait is from the ATP average, in standard deviations.

Avg rally length5.6
T serves · ad52%
Wide serves · deuce53%
Through the middle28%
Deep returns29%
1st serve in60%
Serve & volley1%
Points at net9%
Forehand share50%
Chipped returns9%
BH down the line17%
T serves · deuce41%
Run-around forehands10%
FH down the line26%
Drop shots / shot0.3%
Backhand slice3%
Wide serves · ad40%
Unforced errors / shot6.2%
Point-ending shots14.3%

Plays most like

  1. Diego Schwartzman 2015–2025 plan v
  2. John Millman 2014–2024 plan v
  3. Daniil Medvedev 2017–2026 plan v
  4. Hyeon Chung 2015–2019 plan v
  5. Tomas Martin Etcheverry 2022–2026 plan v
  6. Miomir Kecmanovic 2019–2026 plan v
  7. Jenson Brooksby 2021–2026 plan v
  8. Alex De Minaur 2016–2026 plan v

Closest from another era

  1. Aaron Krickstein 1989–1995
  2. Bjorn Borg 1974–1991
  3. Michael Chang 1989–1998

Charted matches