RallyIQ

WTA · Left-handed · 6 charted matches · 2021–2026

Oksana Selekhmeteva

Against an average opponent

Serve points won 56.5% ±3.7 raw 56.0% · tour 56.3% · 475 points
Return points won 46.8% ±3.8 raw 47.7% · tour 43.7% · 434 points

Serve and return points won, refitted against every opponent at once so a record built on weak or strong opposition is put on the same scale. Career, all surfaces, with a 90% margin. Raw is the plain share of points won.

Value per 100 shots

Direction choice −0.18 ±0.10 better than 20% of WTA · raw −0.16
Shot selection −1.25 ±0.40 better than 2% of WTA · raw −1.21
Execution −0.70 ±1.03 better than 28% of WTA · raw −0.38

Points gained per 100 shots compared with an average tour player in the same position, adjusted for the strength of the opponents faced, with a 90% margin (shots clustered by match). Raw is before the opponent adjustment. Built on 2,280 shots.

Shot expected value

The share of points Oksana Selekhmeteva goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your forehand side

position worth 43% to the average player · 135 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 48% 45.1%±8.9 46.7%
FH through the middle 23% 53.5%±11.5 41.3%
FH slice crosscourt 10% 36.4%±13.6 31.9%
FH down the line 8% 48.3%±14.8 44.9%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your middle

position worth 50% to the average player · 120 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 31% 51.8%±10.9 52.7%
FH down the line 22% 51.0%±12.1 52.2%
FH through the middle 18% 43.2%±12.6 45.8%
BH slice through the middle 15% 57.8%±13.2 44.8%
BH through the middle 10% 50.8%±14.5 46.2%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side

position worth 45% to the average player · 115 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH slice through the middle 31% 51.6%±11.0 34.4%
BH through the middle 21% 53.8%±12.4 43.3%
BH slice crosscourt 18% 44.1%±12.8 40.4%
BH crosscourt 17% 47.5%±13.2 47.6%

Serve +1: mid-depth return to your middle

position worth 51% to the average player · 77 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 30% 43.7%±12.4 54.0%
FH through the middle 21% 50.3%±13.7 45.5%
FH down the line 13% 58.9%±14.8 53.3%

Serve under pressure

Pressure predictability index +15 How much less varied Oksana Selekhmeteva's first-serve direction gets on break points. Positive means easier to read. Based on 55 break-point first serves.

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 14% 0% ▼ 66% / 66%
Body 25% 20% 56% / 57%
T 61% 80% ▲ 61% / 68%

235 normal · 10 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 60% 67% 63% / 66%
Body 26% 20% 62% / 56%
T 14% 13% 74% / 64%

183 normal · 45 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. A direction loses 0.19 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage, measured from WTA servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide13% 55.5%±10.4 n=32 28% ▲
Body25% 52.5%±8.6 n=61 10% ▼
T62% 52.5%±6.1 n=152 62%

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.82).
Optimal mix: +0.7 per 100 first serves.

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide61% 56.3%±6.3 n=139 61%
Body25% 62.1%±8.6 n=57 10% ▼
T14% 65.3%±9.9 n=32 29% ▲

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.23).
Optimal mix: +0.6 per 100 first serves.

Exploitability 0.62 points per 100 first serves What the optimal mix would win over the current one, both courts. More exploitable than 100% of WTA servers. Tested on matches they weren't fitted on, WTA mixes picked this way win 0.42 per 100 first serves on average.

Repeating the previous direction to the same court: −6.3±3.3 points per 100 against switching. Negative means returners read repeats. Tour-wide, repeating costs women about 0.4 points per 100 and costs men nothing, so men's returners don't measurably anticipate direction. (205 repeats, 256 switches.)

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 27 39% −5.0±10.6
1stAd courtT 35 30% −5.3±9.4
1stAd courtWide 44 42% +7.9±9.4
1stDeuce courtBody 30 50% +7.0±10.6
1stDeuce courtT 36 33% +0.7±9.5
1stDeuce courtWide 58 37% +2.6±8.4
2ndAd courtBody 40 56% +1.4±9.7
2ndAd courtT 29 52% −3.3±10.7
2ndAd courtWide 28 62% +8.6±10.5
2ndDeuce courtBody 34 60% +5.4±10.1
2ndDeuce courtT 17 55% −1.1±11.9
2ndDeuce courtWide 47 52% −1.7±9.4

Signature patterns

Recurring sequences that win more than Oksana Selekhmeteva's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.

Serve → +1

  1. Wide serve (ad court) → FH crosscourt used 10.5% · won 66% · +4.7±10.6 vs own baseline
  2. Wide serve (ad court) → FH through the middle used 10.9% · won 51% · −10.8±10.9 vs own baseline
  3. T serve (deuce court) → FH crosscourt used 13.0% · won 52% · −10.1±10.4 vs own baseline

Return

  1. vs wide serve (deuce court) → BH through the middle, mid used 20.6% · won 59% · −4.7±11.4 vs own baseline

Rally, consecutive own shots

  1. FH crosscourt → FH down the line used 21.1% · won 57% · +1.0±11.1 vs own baseline
  2. FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 18.4% · won 57% · +0.4±11.6 vs own baseline

Strengths and vulnerabilities

Value per 100 shots compared with the average player hitting (strengths) or facing (vulnerabilities) the same shot. Only shot types seen at least 120 times.

Hurts opponents most with

FH to their backhand · rally+1.4144
Wide 1st serve · ad court+1.1139
T 1st serve · deuce court−1.2152

Most exposed to

BH to the middle · return−5.1139
FH to their forehand · rally+4.1133

Active players who are best at the shot in the top weakness: Sara Sorribes Tormo, Maja Chwalinska, Daria Saville, Daria Kasatkina, Caroline Wozniacki

Charted matches