RallyIQ

WTA · Right-handed · 5 charted matches · 2019–2026

Daria Snigur

Shot expected value

The share of points Daria Snigur goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your middle

position worth 50% to the average player · 85 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 25% 61.4%±12.5 50.9%
BH down the line 24% 50.0%±13.0 50.0%
FH crosscourt 21% 51.4%±13.3 52.7%
FH down the line 19% 54.0%±13.7 52.2%
BH through the middle 12% 44.1%±14.9 46.2%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your forehand side

position worth 43% to the average player · 72 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH down the line 44% 48.0%±11.4 44.9%
FH crosscourt 43% 53.6%±11.5 46.7%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side

position worth 45% to the average player · 65 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 42% 52.2%±12.0 47.6%
BH down the line 37% 53.1%±12.4 46.8%
BH through the middle 22% 40.2%±13.8 43.3%

Return +1: drive to your middle

position worth 50% to the average player · 47 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 23% 59.6%±14.5 52.3%
BH crosscourt 21% 57.2%±14.9 50.8%

Serve under pressure

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 64% 50% ▼ 70% / 66%
Body 21% 0% ▼ 56% / 57%
T 15% 50% ▲ 59% / 68%

130 normal · 6 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 20% 44% ▲ 64% / 66%
Body 17% 11% 63% / 56%
T 64% 44% ▼ 65% / 64%

107 normal · 18 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. A direction loses 0.19 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage, measured from WTA servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide63% 61.8%±7.4 n=86
Body20% 59.8%±10.7 n=27
T17% 51.3%±11.3 n=23

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.17).

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints won
Wide23% 59.3%±10.5 n=29
Body16% 65.8%±11.0 n=20
T61% 59.3%±7.8 n=76

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.43).

Repeating the previous direction to the same court: −4.0±15.6 points per 100 against switching. Negative means returners read repeats. Tour-wide, repeating costs women about 0.4 points per 100 and costs men nothing, so men's returners don't measurably anticipate direction. (120 repeats, 131 switches.)

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 9 44% +0.1±13.1
1stAd courtT 34 40% +4.6±10.1
1stAd courtWide 27 27% −7.5±9.7
1stDeuce courtBody 12 40% −2.6±12.4
1stDeuce courtT 36 31% −0.9±9.4
1stDeuce courtWide 35 36% +1.7±9.8
2ndAd courtBody 15 61% +6.1±12.0
2ndAd courtT 17 50% −5.0±12.0
2ndAd courtWide 31 57% +3.9±10.4
2ndDeuce courtBody 31 58% +3.5±10.4
2ndDeuce courtT 13 65% +8.6±12.0
2ndDeuce courtWide 18 46% −7.7±11.8

Signature patterns

Recurring sequences that win more than Daria Snigur's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.

Serve → +1

  1. Not enough data

Return

  1. Not enough data

Rally, consecutive own shots

  1. BH crosscourt → BH down the line used 14.9% · won 64% · +7.6±11.5 vs own baseline
  2. FH crosscourt → FH down the line used 15.7% · won 56% · +0.5±11.6 vs own baseline

Discovered sequences

Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Daria Snigur wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.

  1. BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt → BH down the line used 2.2% · won 58% · +5.5±13.0 vs own baseline · +18.6 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Elina Svitolina (4/6)
  2. FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 2.4% · won 55% · +2.7±12.7 vs own baseline · +10.6 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Ana Bogdan (4/9)
  3. FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt → FH down the line used 2.7% · won 50% · −2.0±12.4 vs own baseline · −0.3 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Rebecca Marino (3/6), Ana Bogdan (5/8)

Charted matches