RallyIQ

ATP · Right-handed · 5 charted matches · 2012–2014

Julien Benneteau

Against an average opponent

Serve points won 63.1% ±3.6 raw 61.2% · tour 63.4% · 446 points
Return points won 38.2% ±3.8 raw 31.2% · tour 36.6% · 404 points

Serve and return points won, refitted against every opponent at once so a record built on weak or strong opposition is put on the same scale. Career, all surfaces, with a 90% margin. Raw is the plain share of points won.

Shot expected value

The share of points Julien Benneteau goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side

position worth 46% to the average player · 113 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 54% 51.3%±9.1 47.6%
BH through the middle 27% 44.6%±11.4 43.7%
BH down the line 9% 40.9%±14.8 46.4%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your forehand side

position worth 44% to the average player · 78 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 62% 47.5%±10.0 46.6%
FH down the line 23% 49.9%±13.3 44.7%
FH through the middle 15% 41.6%±14.3 41.5%

Long rally, 9+: drive to your backhand side

position worth 46% to the average player · 70 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 53% 57.2%±10.8 48.0%
BH through the middle 24% 34.5%±12.9 43.8%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your middle

position worth 51% to the average player · 63 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH down the line 38% 41.6%±12.2 51.5%
FH crosscourt 21% 62.2%±13.9 52.7%

Serve under pressure

Pressure predictability index +17 How much less varied Julien Benneteau's first-serve direction gets on break points. Positive means easier to read. Based on 40 break-point first serves.

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 28% 25% 66% / 73%
Body 14% 0% ▼ 65% / 63%
T 57% 75% ▲ 76% / 75%

223 normal · 8 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 39% 56% ▲ 76% / 73%
Body 22% 13% ▼ 60% / 63%
T 39% 31% 72% / 72%

183 normal · 32 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. No measurable response (−0.05 ± 0.15 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage), measured from ATP servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide28% 60.0%±8.3 n=65 28%
Body14% 59.6%±10.3 n=32 1% ▼
T58% 63.1%±6.2 n=134 71% ▲

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.77).
Optimal mix: +0.5 per 100 first serves.

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide42% 62.8%±7.3 n=90 42%
Body20% 54.9%±9.5 n=44 7% ▼
T38% 63.0%±7.5 n=81 51% ▲

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.28).
Optimal mix: +0.8 per 100 first serves.

Exploitability 0.65 points per 100 first serves What the optimal mix would win over the current one, both courts. More exploitable than 100% of ATP servers. Tested on matches they weren't fitted on, ATP mixes picked this way win 0.33 per 100 first serves on average.

Repeating the previous direction to the same court: +3.3±6.0 points per 100 against switching. Negative means returners read repeats. Tour-wide, repeating costs women about 0.4 points per 100 and costs men nothing, so men's returners don't measurably anticipate direction. (122 repeats, 314 switches.)

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 8 37% +0.1±12.9
1stAd courtT 50 22% −6.3±7.6
1stAd courtWide 57 19% −8.6±6.9
1stDeuce courtBody 5 31% −5.2±12.9
1stDeuce courtT 62 26% +0.5±7.5
1stDeuce courtWide 73 21% −6.6±6.5
2ndAd courtBody 28 51% +2.0±10.8
2ndAd courtT 18 47% −1.8±11.9
2ndAd courtWide 29 52% +3.3±10.7
2ndDeuce courtBody 31 50% +1.3±10.5
2ndDeuce courtT 30 52% +1.8±10.6
2ndDeuce courtWide 12 49% +0.5±12.7

Signature patterns

Recurring sequences that win more than Julien Benneteau's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.

Serve → +1

  1. Not enough data

Return

  1. Not enough data

Rally, consecutive own shots

  1. BH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 11.8% · won 56% · +2.0±11.5 vs own baseline
  2. BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 13.4% · won 55% · +0.8±11.1 vs own baseline
  3. FH crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 11.8% · won 52% · −1.8±11.5 vs own baseline

Discovered sequences

Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Julien Benneteau wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.

  1. FH down the line → BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 1.9% · won 57% · +7.2±12.5 vs own baseline · +17.7 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Roger Federer (5/8), Juan Martin Del Potro (5/6)
  2. FH crosscourt → FH down the line → BH crosscourt used 2.0% · won 53% · +3.6±12.4 vs own baseline · +9.1 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Milos Raonic (3/6), Roger Federer (5/7)
  3. BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 2.4% · won 51% · +1.3±11.9 vs own baseline · +3.8 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Juan Martin Del Potro (3/7), Roger Federer (6/10)
  4. BH through the middle → FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 1.8% · won 46% · −3.4±12.7 vs own baseline · −3.8 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Roger Federer (3/9)

Strengths and vulnerabilities

Value per 100 shots compared with the average player hitting (strengths) or facing (vulnerabilities) the same shot. Only shot types seen at least 120 times.

Hurts opponents most with

T 1st serve · deuce court+2.0134
BH to their backhand · rally−0.9136

Most exposed to

Charted matches