WTA · Right-handed · 30 charted matches · 2013–2026
Yulia Putintseva
Archetype: Rarely serves the T · Patient builder
Against an average opponent
Serve and return points won, refitted against every opponent at once so a record built on weak or strong opposition is put on the same scale. Career, all surfaces, with a 90% margin. Raw is the plain share of points won.
Value per 100 shots
Points gained per 100 shots compared with an average tour player in the same position, adjusted for the strength of the opponents faced, with a 90% margin (shots clustered by match). Raw is before the opponent adjustment. Built on 11,017 shots.
Shot expected value
The share of points Yulia Putintseva goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.
Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side
position worth 45% to the average player · 806 shots
| Option | Used | Win % | Tour |
|---|---|---|---|
| BH crosscourt | 31% | 49.4%±5.0 | 47.6% |
| BH through the middle | 27% | 45.4%±5.3 | 43.3% |
| BH slice crosscourt | 11% | 34.3%±7.4 | 40.4% |
| BH down the line | 10% | 47.9%±8.2 | 46.8% |
| BH slice through the middle | 9% | 32.1%±8.1 | 34.4% |
| BH drop shot down the line | 5% | 50.6%±10.9 | 49.1% |
| BH slice down the line | 2% | 23.4%±11.0 | 31.7% |
| BH lob through the middle | 1% | 21.4%±12.3 | 27.1% |
Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your middle
position worth 50% to the average player · 597 shots
| Option | Used | Win % | Tour |
|---|---|---|---|
| FH down the line | 22% | 50.3%±6.7 | 52.2% |
| FH crosscourt | 20% | 53.0%±7.0 | 52.7% |
| FH through the middle | 16% | 37.7%±7.4 | 45.8% |
| BH through the middle | 15% | 48.4%±7.9 | 46.2% |
| BH crosscourt | 11% | 52.6%±9.0 | 50.9% |
| BH down the line | 6% | 57.1%±10.9 | 50.0% |
| BH slice through the middle | 5% | 47.8%±11.9 | 44.8% |
| BH slice crosscourt | 2% | 58.5%±13.9 | 49.5% |
Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your forehand side
position worth 43% to the average player · 588 shots
| Option | Used | Win % | Tour |
|---|---|---|---|
| FH down the line | 35% | 43.3%±5.4 | 44.9% |
| FH crosscourt | 30% | 44.3%±5.8 | 46.7% |
| FH through the middle | 23% | 38.5%±6.4 | 41.3% |
| FH slice through the middle | 6% | 25.6%±9.8 | 29.2% |
| FH slice down the line | 2% | 20.2%±11.3 | 24.3% |
| FH slice crosscourt | 2% | 27.1%±13.1 | 31.9% |
Long rally, 9+: drive to your backhand side
position worth 44% to the average player · 451 shots
| Option | Used | Win % | Tour |
|---|---|---|---|
| BH crosscourt | 34% | 43.4%±6.2 | 47.9% |
| BH through the middle | 24% | 38.5%±7.1 | 42.7% |
| BH slice crosscourt | 12% | 44.8%±9.6 | 38.7% |
| BH down the line | 11% | 47.6%±10.0 | 46.7% |
| BH slice through the middle | 9% | 38.8%±10.3 | 33.4% |
| BH slice down the line | 5% | 31.2%±11.9 | 34.0% |
| BH drop shot down the line | 4% | 53.4%±13.5 | 48.7% |
Serve under pressure
Pressure predictability index +2 How much less varied Yulia Putintseva's first-serve direction gets on break points. Positive means easier to read. Based on 272 break-point first serves.
Deuce court
| 1st serve | Usage | Break pt | Won when in |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide | 57% | 68% ▲ | 60% / 66% |
| Body | 19% | 14% | 52% / 57% |
| T | 24% | 17% | 66% / 68% |
1,011 normal · 76 break-point 1st serves
Ad court
| 1st serve | Usage | Break pt | Won when in |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide | 50% | 46% | 60% / 66% |
| Body | 17% | 18% | 52% / 56% |
| T | 33% | 36% | 59% / 64% |
805 normal · 196 break-point 1st serves
Is the serve mix in equilibrium?
Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. A direction loses 0.19 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage, measured from WTA servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.
Deuce court
| 1st serve | Usage | Points won | Optimal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide | 58% | 54.1%±3.2 n=632 | 58% |
| Body | 18% | 50.1%±5.4 n=199 | 3% ▼ |
| T | 24% | 55.7%±4.8 n=256 | 39% ▲ |
Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.35).
Optimal mix: +0.7 per 100 first serves.
Ad court
| 1st serve | Usage | Points won | Optimal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wide | 49% | 53.9%±3.6 n=495 | 50% |
| Body | 17% | 52.5%±5.8 n=172 | 2% ▼ |
| T | 33% | 54.8%±4.3 n=334 | 48% ▲ |
Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.84).
Optimal mix: +0.4 per 100 first serves.
Exploitability 0.54 points per 100 first serves What the optimal mix would win over the current one, both courts. More exploitable than 100% of WTA servers. Tested on matches they weren't fitted on, WTA mixes picked this way win 0.42 per 100 first serves on average.
Repeating the previous direction to the same court: −2.2±3.6 points per 100 against switching. Negative means returners read repeats. Tour-wide, repeating costs women about 0.4 points per 100 and costs men nothing, so men's returners don't measurably anticipate direction. (792 repeats, 1,236 switches.)
Return by serve direction
Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.
| Serve | Court | Direction | Points | Won | vs tour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | Ad court | Body | 137 | 46% | +1.7±6.3 | |
| 1st | Ad court | T | 204 | 32% | −3.2±5.0 | |
| 1st | Ad court | Wide | 245 | 30% | −4.2±4.6 | |
| 1st | Deuce court | Body | 147 | 38% | −4.3±6.0 | |
| 1st | Deuce court | T | 223 | 34% | +1.7±4.9 | |
| 1st | Deuce court | Wide | 307 | 32% | −2.2±4.2 | |
| 2nd | Ad court | Body | 181 | 52% | −2.7±5.7 | |
| 2nd | Ad court | T | 49 | 45% | −10.1±9.2 | |
| 2nd | Ad court | Wide | 162 | 50% | −3.5±5.9 | |
| 2nd | Deuce court | Body | 177 | 53% | −1.6±5.7 | |
| 2nd | Deuce court | T | 133 | 48% | −8.3±6.4 | |
| 2nd | Deuce court | Wide | 92 | 52% | −2.0±7.4 |
Signature patterns
Recurring sequences that win more than Yulia Putintseva's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.
Serve → +1
- T serve (deuce court) → FH crosscourt used 2.2% · won 62% · +4.9±9.7 vs own baseline
- Wide serve (deuce court) → FH crosscourt used 3.2% · won 56% · −0.9±8.8 vs own baseline
- T serve (ad court) → FH down the line used 3.2% · won 56% · −0.9±8.8 vs own baseline
- Wide serve (ad court) → FH crosscourt used 2.9% · won 56% · −1.1±9.1 vs own baseline
- Wide serve (deuce court) → FH down the line used 2.9% · won 55% · −1.8±9.1 vs own baseline
Return
- vs wide serve (ad court) → BH crosscourt, deep used 3.2% · won 54% · +13.1±9.5 vs own baseline
- vs T serve (deuce court) → BH through the middle, deep used 3.3% · won 53% · +12.4±9.5 vs own baseline
- vs wide serve (deuce court) → FH through the middle, deep used 3.6% · won 51% · +10.3±9.2 vs own baseline
- vs body serve (deuce court) → BH through the middle, deep used 2.4% · won 50% · +9.7±10.4 vs own baseline
- vs wide serve (ad court) → BH through the middle, deep used 2.2% · won 49% · +8.0±10.6 vs own baseline
Rally, consecutive own shots
- BH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 3.8% · won 57% · +9.4±7.3 vs own baseline
- FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 3.2% · won 56% · +8.4±7.8 vs own baseline
- FH down the line → FH crosscourt used 2.1% · won 55% · +7.9±9.1 vs own baseline
- BH crosscourt → FH down the line used 1.5% · won 56% · +8.2±10.0 vs own baseline
- BH through the middle → FH crosscourt used 2.8% · won 51% · +3.9±8.2 vs own baseline
Discovered sequences
Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Yulia Putintseva wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.
- BH crosscourt → BH through the middle → FH crosscourt used 0.8% · won 57% · +10.8±9.6 vs own baseline · +9.2 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Tamara Zidansek (5/8), Iga Swiatek (5/8)
- FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 1.0% · won 54% · +8.1±9.1 vs own baseline · +9.9 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Victoria Azarenka (4/9), Kiki Bertens (5/9)
- FH down the line → BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 1.4% · won 52% · +5.7±8.1 vs own baseline · +5.5 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Iga Swiatek (3/7), Tamara Zidansek (3/6)
- Wide serve → BH through the middle return, mid → FH crosscourt used 0.4% · won 57% · +10.5±12.2 vs own baseline · +12.3 vs tour on the same sequence
- Wide serve → BH crosscourt return, mid → BH crosscourt used 0.5% · won 55% · +8.8±11.6 vs own baseline · +14.0 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Elena Rybakina (5/6)
- BH through the middle → FH through the middle → FH down the line used 0.6% · won 54% · +7.3±10.9 vs own baseline · +9.9 vs tour on the same sequence
Strengths and vulnerabilities
Value per 100 shots compared with the average player hitting (strengths) or facing (vulnerabilities) the same shot. Only shot types seen at least 120 times.
Hurts opponents most with
| FH to the middle · return +1 | +3.2 | 147 |
| BH to their backhand · rally | +3.1 | 517 |
| BH to their forehand · serve +1 | +2.6 | 133 |
| FH to the middle · rally | +2.5 | 395 |
| BH to the middle · return +1 | +2.2 | 145 |
Most exposed to
| FH to their backhand · return | −7.1 | 198 |
| FH to their backhand · serve +1 | −3.0 | 263 |
| FH to their forehand · return | −2.9 | 241 |
| T 2nd serve · deuce court | −2.0 | 131 |
| BH to their forehand · serve +1 | −1.9 | 146 |
Best-equipped opponents
Active players whose shot mix lines up best against these weaknesses, by structural compatibility per 100 rally shots: Sara Sorribes Tormo +3.17, Caroline Wozniacki +3.11, Angelique Kerber +2.49, Daria Kasatkina +2.49, Sara Errani +2.36
Favourable matchups
Sara Errani +2.26, Angelique Kerber +2.18, Marie Bouzkova +1.97, Elina Avanesyan +1.81, Magdalena Frech +1.58
Active players who are best at the shot in the top weakness: Angelique Kerber, Caroline Wozniacki, Emma Raducanu, Alexandra Eala, Daria Kasatkina
Tactical fingerprint
Each bar shows how far a style trait is from the WTA average, in standard deviations.
| Drop shots / shot | 4.2% | |
| Wide serves · deuce | 58% | |
| 1st serve in | 67% | |
| FH down the line | 34% | |
| Wide serves · ad | 49% | |
| Avg rally length | 4.6 | |
| Through the middle | 33% | |
| Backhand slice | 23% | |
| Deep returns | 34% | |
| Run-around forehands | 6% | |
| Chipped returns | 10% | |
| Serve & volley | 0% | |
| T serves · ad | 33% | |
| BH down the line | 17% | |
| Points at net | 3% | |
| Forehand share | 50% | |
| Unforced errors / shot | 7.9% | |
| Point-ending shots | 18.0% | |
| T serves · deuce | 24% |
Plays most like
- Elena Dementieva 1999–2010 plan v
- Camila Osorio 2021–2026 plan v
- Anastasija Sevastova 2011–2025 plan v
- Marie Bouzkova 2018–2026 plan v
- Clara Burel 2018–2024 plan v
- Emma Raducanu 2018–2026 plan v
- Alize Cornet 2013–2024 plan v
- Antonia Ruzic 2024–2026 plan v
Closest from another era
- Elena Dementieva 1999–2010
- Jennifer Capriati 1990–2002
- Martina Hingis 1996–2007
Charted matches
- Yulia Putintseva v Tereza Valentova L Rome R128 · Clay · 6 May 2026
- Elena Rybakina v Yulia Putintseva L Miami R64 · Hard · 20 Mar 2026
- Iva Jovic v Yulia Putintseva L Australian Open R16 · Hard · 25 Jan 2026
- Ella Seidel v Yulia Putintseva L Guangzhou R16 · Hard · 23 Oct 2025
- Yulia Putintseva v Mirra Andreeva L Roland Garros R32 · Clay · 31 May 2025
- Taylor Townsend v Yulia Putintseva L Miami R64 · Hard · 20 Mar 2025
- Amanda Anisimova v Yulia Putintseva L Seoul R32 · Hard · 16 Sep 2024
- Jasmine Paolini v Yulia Putintseva L US Open R32 · Hard · 31 Aug 2024
- Xin Yu Wang v Yulia Putintseva W US Open R64 · Hard · 29 Aug 2024
- Jelena Ostapenko v Yulia Putintseva L Wimbledon R16 · Grass · 8 Jul 2024
- Iga Swiatek v Yulia Putintseva W Wimbledon R32 · Grass · 6 Jul 2024
- Martina Trevisan v Yulia Putintseva L US Open R128 · Hard · 29 Aug 2023