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Giacomo Balli
The Second Opinion

For owners and CEOs about to spend serious money on software, AI, an app, or a vendor.
An independent answer before the money moves.

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POV: Trying to save $132K in fees cost you $268K in lost earnings πŸ˜… 2x more money lost than saved πŸ‘Ž

I said in my last post as well that web checkout *conversions* are trash. And now we see it in the data across many apps (h/t revenuecat)

Put simply, for a app earning $1M/month from the US:

– IAP (15% fee): $850K net – Web checkout drops conversion ~40%, Stripe takes 3%: $582K net – You save $132K… *and lose $268K* 😬

Why? – 50% vanish at login – 63% drop off at card entry

My current sense is that Apple’s likely to win a stay on the injunction. This window for external links is probably short-lived. (h/t David Barnard)

All of that said, with millions of users in the US, we at Muslim Pro used the moment to tighten our app β†’ web handshake β€” where most of the drop-off happens. Also testing Apple Pay in web flows with a small US cohort. I suspect we’ll breakeven with IAP at best though.

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Published: Wed, May 21 2025 @ 11:16:26
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