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Giacomo Balli
Complex decisions. Clear thinking.

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Building technology products since 2010 · 100+ apps

Sometimes the reason the category is crowded is the same reason it will not

Sometimes the reason the category is crowded is the same reason it will not support a durable business.

A crowded category is often a warning sign, not validation. If ten vendors exist, what makes you think there are ten real budgets?

In SMBs adding a digital layer, the default move is to look for "proof" before committing: lots of competitors, lots of funding, lots of noise. It feels safe. Someone else already de-risked the demand.

But competition is usually measuring supply, not pull.

When it is cheap to build, easy to copy, and simple to pitch, the room fills up fast. A new Salesforce add-on, another monday.com clone, a fresh "AI ops" wrapper around ServiceNow, a HubSpot plug-in with a nicer UI. The category looks validated because it is crowded.

Then the real test arrives later: procurement, switching costs, and budget ownership.

If the buyer is not already paying for the problem, you are not entering a market. You are entering a fundraising narrative, a founder convenience, or a consulting-shaped mess that only looks like software at first glance.

The teams that get hurt are the ones who "checked PMF" based on the competitor list, then discover the market is actually 100 small markets that will not standardize.

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Published: Wed, Feb 18 2026 @ 2:00:00
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