RallyIQ

ATP · Left-handed · 21 charted matches · 1993–2005

Greg Rusedski

Archetype: Serve-and-volleyer · Net rusher (6)

Against an average opponent

Serve points won 66.0% ±2.8 raw 66.4% · tour 63.4% · 2,140 points
Return points won 34.4% ±2.9 raw 28.9% · tour 36.6% · 2,028 points

Serve and return points won, refitted against every opponent at once so a record built on weak or strong opposition is put on the same scale. Career, all surfaces, with a 90% margin. Raw is the plain share of points won.

Value per 100 shots

Direction choice −0.26 ±0.08 better than 8% of ATP · raw −0.26
Shot selection +0.04 ±0.27 better than 57% of ATP · raw +0.04
Execution −1.20 ±0.80 better than 19% of ATP · raw −1.26
Tactical adaptability −0.01 first serves toward what's working, set to set · 21 matches
Adaptation speed +0.05 same, every two to three service games · per 100 first serves
Points left on the table 5.41 per 100 shots vs best direction · lower than 1% of ATP

Points gained per 100 shots compared with an average tour player in the same position, adjusted for the strength of the opponents faced, with a 90% margin (shots clustered by match). Raw is before the opponent adjustment. Built on 8,046 shots.

Shot expected value

The share of points Greg Rusedski goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side

position worth 46% to the average player · 185 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH slice down the line 27% 33.4%±9.3 37.1%
BH slice crosscourt 23% 38.9%±10.1 42.5%
BH slice through the middle 21% 36.3%±10.4 35.1%
BH through the middle 7% 38.6%±13.9 43.7%

Return +1: drive to your backhand side

position worth 44% to the average player · 169 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH slice through the middle 30% 32.2%±9.2 32.6%
BH slice crosscourt 26% 31.5%±9.6 40.9%
BH slice down the line 21% 36.9%±10.6 33.3%
BH through the middle 9% 41.7%±13.7 43.0%

Serve +1: short return to your middle, you at net

position worth 54% to the average player · 139 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH volley crosscourt 23% 60.1%±11.2 61.3%
BH volley through the middle 18% 47.4%±12.2 36.6%
BH volley down the line 15% 49.2%±12.8 50.8%
FH volley down the line 14% 57.7%±12.9 55.4%
BH volley crosscourt 12% 49.5%±13.5 56.5%
FH volley through the middle 9% 35.3%±13.9 36.5%

Return +1: volley to your backhand side, opponent at net

position worth 33% to the average player · 130 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH down the line 35% 41.3%±10.0 39.2%
BH crosscourt 28% 38.0%±10.6 43.4%
BH lob down the line 14% 24.4%±11.5 21.4%
BH lob through the middle 8% 14.5%±10.4 17.4%

Serve under pressure

Pressure predictability index +3 How much less varied Greg Rusedski's first-serve direction gets on break points. Positive means easier to read. Based on 165 break-point first serves.

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 52% 58% 74% / 73%
Body 9% 5% 69% / 63%
T 39% 37% 72% / 75%

1,070 normal · 38 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 51% 52% 79% / 73%
Body 9% 9% 69% / 63%
T 40% 39% 82% / 72%

887 normal · 127 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. No measurable response (−0.05 ± 0.15 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage), measured from ATP servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide52% 64.6%±3.2 n=581 66% ▲
Body8% 61.4%±7.2 n=94 0% ▼
T39% 63.2%±3.7 n=433 34% ▼

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.72).
Optimal mix: +0.4 per 100 first serves.

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide51% 69.6%±3.2 n=515 64% ▲
Body9% 66.9%±7.0 n=92 0% ▼
T40% 69.0%±3.6 n=407 36% ▼

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.81).
Optimal mix: +0.6 per 100 first serves.

Exploitability 0.47 points per 100 first serves What the optimal mix would win over the current one, both courts. More exploitable than 100% of ATP servers. Tested on matches they weren't fitted on, ATP mixes picked this way win 0.33 per 100 first serves on average.

Repeating the previous direction to the same court: +2.9±3.3 points per 100 against switching. Negative means returners read repeats. Tour-wide, repeating costs women about 0.4 points per 100 and costs men nothing, so men's returners don't measurably anticipate direction. (800 repeats, 1,280 switches.)

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 60 39% +2.0±8.5
1stAd courtT 295 22% −6.1±3.8
1stAd courtWide 226 17% −10.0±3.9
1stDeuce courtBody 49 28% −8.8±8.3
1stDeuce courtT 242 21% −3.9±4.1
1stDeuce courtWide 347 22% −5.1±3.5
2ndAd courtBody 101 40% −9.1±7.1
2ndAd courtT 161 46% −3.3±5.9
2ndAd courtWide 104 32% −16.6±6.6
2ndDeuce courtBody 125 40% −8.6±6.5
2ndDeuce courtT 66 49% −0.8±8.4
2ndDeuce courtWide 235 44% −3.8±5.0

Signature patterns

Recurring sequences that win more than Greg Rusedski's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.

Serve → +1

  1. Wide serve (ad court) → BH volley crosscourt used 3.4% · won 76% · +3.1±7.4 vs own baseline
  2. T serve (deuce court) → FH volley crosscourt used 2.8% · won 67% · −6.4±8.7 vs own baseline
  3. Wide serve (ad court) → FH volley down the line used 2.3% · won 64% · −9.3±9.5 vs own baseline
  4. T serve (deuce court) → BH volley down the line used 2.1% · won 62% · −11.0±9.8 vs own baseline
  5. Wide serve (deuce court) → BH volley down the line used 2.7% · won 60% · −12.6±9.1 vs own baseline

Return

  1. vs wide serve (deuce court) → BH slice down the line, mid used 3.6% · won 40% · +14.9±9.5 vs own baseline
  2. vs T serve (ad court) → BH slice through the middle, short used 5.2% · won 36% · +10.1±8.2 vs own baseline
  3. vs T serve (deuce court) → FH through the middle, short used 2.7% · won 39% · +13.3±10.2 vs own baseline
  4. vs wide serve (deuce court) → BH slice crosscourt, short used 2.6% · won 34% · +8.9±10.0 vs own baseline
  5. vs T serve (ad court) → BH slice through the middle, mid used 3.6% · won 32% · +6.4±9.0 vs own baseline

Rally, consecutive own shots

  1. FH crosscourt → FH down the line used 6.8% · won 52% · +10.0±11.1 vs own baseline
  2. BH slice down the line → FH crosscourt used 10.6% · won 49% · +6.7±9.7 vs own baseline
  3. FH crosscourt → BH slice crosscourt used 6.0% · won 42% · −0.5±11.3 vs own baseline
  4. FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 8.7% · won 41% · −0.7±10.2 vs own baseline
  5. BH slice through the middle → BH slice down the line used 6.2% · won 37% · −5.0±11.0 vs own baseline

Discovered sequences

Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Greg Rusedski wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.

  1. BH slice down the line → BH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 1.5% · won 51% · +2.7±10.9 vs own baseline · +7.7 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Nikolay Davydenko (3/7), Andre Agassi (3/6)
  2. FH crosscourt → BH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 1.1% · won 51% · +2.8±11.7 vs own baseline · +5.8 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Nikolay Davydenko (2/8)
  3. FH crosscourt → BH crosscourt → FH down the line used 0.8% · won 48% · −0.5±12.7 vs own baseline · −1.8 vs tour on the same sequence
  4. BH slice crosscourt → FH crosscourt → BH slice down the line used 0.7% · won 43% · −5.6±12.9 vs own baseline · −6.5 vs tour on the same sequence
  5. BH slice through the middle → FH crosscourt → BH slice down the line used 0.8% · won 39% · −9.1±12.6 vs own baseline · −13.3 vs tour on the same sequence

Strengths and vulnerabilities

Value per 100 shots compared with the average player hitting (strengths) or facing (vulnerabilities) the same shot. Only shot types seen at least 120 times.

Hurts opponents most with

BH slice to their forehand · return+4.1163
Wide 1st serve · ad court+3.7515
T 1st serve · ad court+3.2407
BH volley to their forehand · serve +1+3.1129
FH to their backhand · return +1+2.7128

Most exposed to

BH to their forehand · return +1−4.3123
Body 2nd serve · deuce court−1.7125
FH to their backhand · return−1.2246
T 1st serve · deuce court−1.0433
Wide 2nd serve · deuce court−1.0235

Active players who are best at the shot in the top weakness: Rafael Nadal, Adrian Mannarino, Yoshihito Nishioka, Learner Tien, Casper Ruud

Tactical fingerprint

Each bar shows how far a style trait is from the ATP average, in standard deviations.

Chipped returns55%
BH down the line41%
Backhand slice69%
Serve & volley68%
Points at net28%
Point-ending shots32.5%
Wide serves · deuce52%
FH down the line35%
T serves · ad40%
Wide serves · ad51%
Unforced errors / shot10.1%
Run-around forehands12%
1st serve in58%
Forehand share49%
Drop shots / shot0.5%
T serves · deuce39%
Through the middle18%
Deep returns14%
Avg rally length2.8

Plays most like

  1. Tim Henman 1995–2006 plan v
  2. Patrick Rafter 1993–2001 plan v
  3. Richard Krajicek 1992–2000 plan v
  4. Boris Becker 1985–1999 plan v
  5. Stefan Edberg 1985–2012 plan v
  6. Max Mirnyi 2001–2006 plan v
  7. Mark Philippoussis 1995–2003 plan v
  8. John Mcenroe 1978–1992 plan v

Closest from another era

  1. Nicolas Mahut 2007–2021
  2. Sergiy Stakhovsky 2010–2022
  3. Steve Johnson 2015–2022

Charted matches