RallyIQ

WTA · Left-handed · 33 charted matches · 1981–1994

Martina Navratilova

Archetype: Serve-and-volleyer · Net rusher

Against an average opponent

Serve points won 59.1% ±2.7 raw 58.0% · tour 56.3% · 2,754 points
Return points won 45.0% ±2.8 raw 41.5% · tour 43.7% · 2,760 points

Serve and return points won, refitted against every opponent at once so a record built on weak or strong opposition is put on the same scale. Career, all surfaces, with a 90% margin. Raw is the plain share of points won.

Value per 100 shots

Direction choice +0.05 ±0.09 better than 63% of WTA · raw +0.04
Shot selection +0.74 ±0.23 better than 98% of WTA · raw +0.74
Execution −0.47 ±0.49 better than 35% of WTA · raw −0.52
Tactical adaptability +0.09 first serves toward what's working, set to set · 31 matches
Adaptation speed +0.06 same, every two to three service games · per 100 first serves
Points left on the table 4.11 per 100 shots vs best direction · lower than 0% of WTA

Points gained per 100 shots compared with an average tour player in the same position, adjusted for the strength of the opponents faced, with a 90% margin (shots clustered by match). Raw is before the opponent adjustment. Built on 13,091 shots.

Shot expected value

The share of points Martina Navratilova goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side

position worth 45% to the average player · 616 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH slice crosscourt 32% 35.5%±5.3 40.4%
BH slice through the middle 21% 32.4%±6.3 34.4%
BH slice down the line 13% 35.3%±7.9 31.7%
BH crosscourt 10% 38.6%±9.0 47.6%
BH through the middle 7% 42.1%±10.4 43.3%
BH slice down the line + approach 5% 44.6%±11.3 41.1%
BH slice through the middle + approach 3% 45.4%±12.8 43.1%
BH slice crosscourt + approach 3% 48.7%±13.7 52.7%

Return +1: drive to your backhand side

position worth 44% to the average player · 441 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH slice crosscourt 34% 36.0%±6.0 39.6%
BH slice through the middle 27% 35.2%±6.6 33.2%
BH slice down the line 12% 31.7%±8.8 28.7%
BH crosscourt 10% 44.6%±10.2 47.8%
BH slice down the line + approach 5% 49.5%±12.7 49.0%
BH through the middle 4% 39.5%±13.2 43.0%
BH slice through the middle + approach 3% 49.0%±14.3 50.9%
BH down the line 3% 47.6%±14.5 46.2%

Long rally, 9+: drive to your backhand side

position worth 44% to the average player · 414 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH slice crosscourt 28% 44.2%±7.0 38.7%
BH slice through the middle 20% 45.9%±8.0 33.4%
BH slice down the line 18% 47.7%±8.4 34.0%
BH crosscourt 9% 56.9%±10.6 47.9%
BH through the middle 9% 47.4%±11.0 42.7%
BH slice down the line + approach 6% 42.9%±12.1 51.6%
BH drop shot crosscourt 5% 59.4%±12.8 48.7%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your forehand side

position worth 43% to the average player · 378 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 68% 47.4%±5.0 46.7%
FH through the middle 13% 33.7%±9.4 41.3%
FH down the line 9% 34.5%±10.5 44.9%
FH down the line + approach 3% 69.9%±13.1 65.4%
FH crosscourt + approach 3% 56.0%±14.9 63.9%

Serve under pressure

Pressure predictability index +1 How much less varied Martina Navratilova's first-serve direction gets on break points. Positive means easier to read. Based on 307 break-point first serves.

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 37% 54% ▲ 65% / 66%
Body 16% 6% ▼ 61% / 57%
T 48% 40% 66% / 68%

1,291 normal · 84 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 60% 52% ▼ 64% / 66%
Body 12% 12% 58% / 56%
T 28% 36% ▲ 67% / 64%

1,040 normal · 223 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. A direction loses 0.19 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage, measured from WTA servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide38% 54.3%±3.5 n=519 23% ▼
Body15% 57.8%±5.3 n=208 15%
T47% 58.8%±3.1 n=648 62% ▲

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.24).
Optimal mix: +0.5 per 100 first serves.

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide59% 58.3%±2.9 n=743 57% ▼
Body12% 55.5%±6.1 n=148 0% ▼
T29% 58.2%±4.0 n=372 43% ▲

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.72).
Optimal mix: +0.6 per 100 first serves.

Exploitability 0.50 points per 100 first serves What the optimal mix would win over the current one, both courts. More exploitable than 100% of WTA servers. Tested on matches they weren't fitted on, WTA mixes picked this way win 0.42 per 100 first serves on average.

Repeating the previous direction to the same court: −1.2±3.6 points per 100 against switching. Negative means returners read repeats. Tour-wide, repeating costs women about 0.4 points per 100 and costs men nothing, so men's returners don't measurably anticipate direction. (1,031 repeats, 1,541 switches.)

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 199 38% −6.3±5.3
1stAd courtT 366 33% −2.5±3.9
1stAd courtWide 310 43% +8.3±4.4
1stDeuce courtBody 151 42% −0.2±6.0
1stDeuce courtT 177 33% +0.5±5.4
1stDeuce courtWide 662 39% +4.6±3.0
2ndAd courtBody 125 47% −8.3±6.6
2ndAd courtT 109 57% +2.2±6.9
2ndAd courtWide 179 44% −9.5±5.6
2ndDeuce courtBody 107 50% −4.6±7.0
2ndDeuce courtT 51 57% +0.5±9.1
2ndDeuce courtWide 240 56% +1.8±5.0

Signature patterns

Recurring sequences that win more than Martina Navratilova's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.

Serve → +1

  1. T serve (deuce court) → BH volley down the line used 3.3% · won 69% · +7.2±7.4 vs own baseline
  2. Wide serve (ad court) → BH volley crosscourt used 5.4% · won 67% · +5.2±6.2 vs own baseline
  3. Wide serve (deuce court) → BH volley down the line used 2.0% · won 62% · +0.4±9.2 vs own baseline
  4. Wide serve (ad court) → FH volley down the line used 2.3% · won 59% · −2.4±8.9 vs own baseline
  5. T serve (deuce court) → FH volley crosscourt used 3.5% · won 59% · −2.8±7.7 vs own baseline

Return

  1. vs wide serve (ad court) → FH crosscourt, mid used 5.9% · won 56% · +14.8±6.9 vs own baseline
  2. vs wide serve (ad court) → FH crosscourt, short used 2.3% · won 58% · +16.2±9.7 vs own baseline
  3. vs wide serve (deuce court) → BH slice through the middle, mid used 10.6% · won 48% · +6.8±5.4 vs own baseline
  4. vs wide serve (deuce court) → BH slice crosscourt, short used 2.9% · won 49% · +7.1±9.2 vs own baseline
  5. vs wide serve (deuce court) → BH slice through the middle, short used 2.1% · won 46% · +4.6±10.1 vs own baseline

Rally, consecutive own shots

  1. BH slice down the line → FH crosscourt used 4.8% · won 49% · +5.7±7.5 vs own baseline
  2. FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt + approach used 2.2% · won 51% · +7.3±9.9 vs own baseline
  3. FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 7.4% · won 46% · +2.2±6.2 vs own baseline
  4. BH through the middle → BH crosscourt used 1.3% · won 47% · +3.8±11.3 vs own baseline
  5. BH crosscourt → BH slice through the middle used 1.3% · won 47% · +3.8±11.3 vs own baseline

Discovered sequences

Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Martina Navratilova wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.

  1. BH slice down the line → BH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 2.5% · won 47% · +4.8±8.6 vs own baseline · +4.0 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Chris Evert (31/63)
  2. BH crosscourt → FH crosscourt → BH slice through the middle used 0.7% · won 51% · +9.0±12.7 vs own baseline · +26.5 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Chris Evert (9/14)
  3. T serve → BH slice through the middle return, short → FH volley crosscourt used 1.0% · won 49% · +6.7±11.6 vs own baseline · −7.2 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Steffi Graf (10/17)
  4. Wide serve → FH through the middle return, mid → BH volley crosscourt used 0.6% · won 50% · +7.8±12.9 vs own baseline · +5.4 vs tour on the same sequence
  5. FH crosscourt → BH through the middle → BH slice crosscourt used 0.6% · won 49% · +6.6±13.0 vs own baseline · +13.5 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Chris Evert (9/15)
  6. FH crosscourt → BH slice crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 1.3% · won 47% · +4.3±10.7 vs own baseline · −4.3 vs tour on the same sequence

Strengths and vulnerabilities

Value per 100 shots compared with the average player hitting (strengths) or facing (vulnerabilities) the same shot. Only shot types seen at least 120 times.

Hurts opponents most with

BH slice to their forehand · return+11.2293
BH slice to the middle · return+7.0661
BH slice to their forehand · return +1+6.6195
BH slice to their forehand · rally+5.9446
BH slice to their backhand · return+5.1268

Most exposed to

BH slice to their forehand · return−10.2165
BH slice to their backhand · return−7.1206
BH slice to their forehand · rally−6.1136
BH to their forehand · return−5.3143
BH to their backhand · return +1−3.9141

Tactical fingerprint

Each bar shows how far a style trait is from the WTA average, in standard deviations.

Serve & volley72%
Points at net44%
Backhand slice76%
Chipped returns50%
Wide serves · ad59%
T serves · deuce47%
1st serve in65%
Point-ending shots26.3%
Drop shots / shot1.3%
BH down the line19%
Avg rally length4.0
Wide serves · deuce38%
Run-around forehands3%
T serves · ad29%
Unforced errors / shot8.1%
Through the middle21%
FH down the line21%
Forehand share44%
Deep returns17%

Plays most like

  1. Jana Novotna 1991–1999 plan v
  2. Kirsten Flipkens 2013–2022 plan v
  3. Taylor Townsend 2015–2026 plan v
  4. Amelie Mauresmo 1999–2009 plan v
  5. Gabriela Sabatini 1988–1995 plan v
  6. Barbora Strycova 2014–2023 plan v
  7. Arantxa Sanchez Vicario 1988–2001 plan v
  8. Roberta Vinci 2012–2017 plan v

Closest from another era

  1. Kirsten Flipkens 2013–2022
  2. Taylor Townsend 2015–2026
  3. Amelie Mauresmo 1999–2009

Charted matches