RallyIQ

ATP · Right-handed · 12 charted matches · 2013–2023

Pablo Andujar

Archetype: Grinder · Ad-court T server

Against an average opponent

Serve points won 59.9% ±3.3 raw 53.4% · tour 63.4% · 936 points
Return points won 37.6% ±3.3 raw 36.7% · tour 36.6% · 926 points

Serve and return points won, refitted against every opponent at once so a record built on weak or strong opposition is put on the same scale. Career, all surfaces, with a 90% margin. Raw is the plain share of points won.

Value per 100 shots

Direction choice −0.07 ±0.20 better than 38% of ATP · raw −0.07
Shot selection +0.34 ±0.19 better than 83% of ATP · raw +0.35
Execution +0.04 ±0.76 better than 71% of ATP · raw +0.08
Tactical adaptability −0.01 first serves toward what's working, set to set · 12 matches
Adaptation speed +0.02 same, every two to three service games · per 100 first serves
Points left on the table 2.62 per 100 shots vs best direction · lower than 48% of ATP

Points gained per 100 shots compared with an average tour player in the same position, adjusted for the strength of the opponents faced, with a 90% margin (shots clustered by match). Raw is before the opponent adjustment. Built on 5,241 shots.

Shot expected value

The share of points Pablo Andujar goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side

position worth 46% to the average player · 387 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 43% 42.0%±5.9 47.6%
BH through the middle 26% 37.3%±7.3 43.7%
BH down the line 14% 41.5%±9.5 46.4%
FH inside-out 5% 48.4%±13.0 51.8%
BH slice through the middle 4% 27.9%±12.3 35.1%
BH slice crosscourt 3% 31.7%±14.0 42.5%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your middle

position worth 51% to the average player · 285 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH down the line 26% 46.6%±8.4 51.5%
FH crosscourt 22% 50.1%±9.0 52.7%
FH through the middle 16% 36.4%±9.7 47.0%
BH crosscourt 13% 42.5%±10.9 49.1%
BH through the middle 12% 46.0%±11.3 46.8%
BH down the line 5% 46.0%±14.1 48.3%
FH down the line + approach 4% 69.1%±13.4 70.5%

Long rally, 9+: drive to your backhand side

position worth 46% to the average player · 223 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 39% 45.9%±7.9 48.0%
BH through the middle 26% 38.2%±9.0 43.8%
BH down the line 17% 48.0%±10.7 46.5%
BH slice crosscourt 6% 36.5%±13.6 42.1%
BH slice through the middle 5% 28.2%±13.1 35.1%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your forehand side

position worth 44% to the average player · 221 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 44% 35.3%±7.3 46.6%
FH down the line 27% 34.1%±8.8 44.7%
FH through the middle 24% 46.3%±9.5 41.5%

Serve under pressure

Pressure predictability index +10 How much less varied Pablo Andujar's first-serve direction gets on break points. Positive means easier to read. Based on 113 break-point first serves.

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 43% 27% ▼ 68% / 73%
Body 17% 4% ▼ 53% / 63%
T 40% 69% ▲ 64% / 75%

460 normal · 26 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 45% 51% 64% / 73%
Body 25% 17% 64% / 63%
T 30% 32% 57% / 72%

363 normal · 87 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. No measurable response (−0.05 ± 0.15 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage), measured from ATP servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide42% 57.3%±5.3 n=205 55% ▲
Body16% 46.7%±7.9 n=79 3% ▼
T42% 49.8%±5.4 n=202 42%

Off equilibrium (p = 0.043): serve wide more. Gap 4.9 points per 100 first serves.
Optimal mix: +0.9 per 100 first serves.

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide46% 56.0%±5.3 n=208 59% ▲
Body23% 54.7%±7.1 n=104 10% ▼
T31% 52.8%±6.3 n=138 31%

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.76).
Optimal mix: +0.1 per 100 first serves.

Exploitability 0.52 points per 100 first serves What the optimal mix would win over the current one, both courts. More exploitable than 100% of ATP servers. Tested on matches they weren't fitted on, ATP mixes picked this way win 0.33 per 100 first serves on average.

Repeating the previous direction to the same court: −1.7±3.9 points per 100 against switching. Negative means returners read repeats. Tour-wide, repeating costs women about 0.4 points per 100 and costs men nothing, so men's returners don't measurably anticipate direction. (349 repeats, 563 switches.)

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 31 38% +0.9±10.2
1stAd courtT 101 26% −1.8±6.3
1stAd courtWide 143 27% ±0.0±5.6
1stDeuce courtBody 51 37% +0.3±8.8
1stDeuce courtT 127 29% +3.9±6.0
1stDeuce courtWide 130 28% +1.0±5.9
2ndAd courtBody 48 50% +0.4±9.3
2ndAd courtT 21 47% −2.6±11.5
2ndAd courtWide 97 49% +0.9±7.3
2ndDeuce courtBody 58 52% +2.9±8.8
2ndDeuce courtT 76 45% −4.5±8.0
2ndDeuce courtWide 43 53% +4.6±9.6

Signature patterns

Recurring sequences that win more than Pablo Andujar's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.

Serve → +1

  1. Wide serve (deuce court) → FH down the line used 5.2% · won 55% · +3.4±10.0 vs own baseline
  2. Body serve (ad court) → FH down the line used 2.9% · won 55% · +3.2±11.6 vs own baseline
  3. Wide serve (deuce court) → FH through the middle used 2.9% · won 53% · +1.2±11.7 vs own baseline
  4. Body serve (ad court) → BH crosscourt used 2.9% · won 53% · +1.2±11.7 vs own baseline
  5. Wide serve (ad court) → FH crosscourt used 3.4% · won 51% · −0.9±11.2 vs own baseline

Return

  1. vs T serve (deuce court) → BH through the middle, deep used 6.5% · won 57% · +13.2±11.3 vs own baseline
  2. vs wide serve (ad court) → BH crosscourt, mid used 7.1% · won 47% · +3.9±11.1 vs own baseline
  3. vs T serve (deuce court) → BH through the middle, mid used 8.2% · won 44% · +0.7±10.6 vs own baseline
  4. vs wide serve (deuce court) → FH through the middle used 7.3% · won 39% · −4.1±10.8 vs own baseline

Rally, consecutive own shots

  1. FH down the line → FH crosscourt used 3.1% · won 51% · +8.6±10.8 vs own baseline
  2. FH crosscourt → FH down the line used 6.2% · won 49% · +5.8±8.7 vs own baseline
  3. BH through the middle → BH through the middle used 3.4% · won 47% · +4.4±10.5 vs own baseline
  4. FH through the middle → FH crosscourt used 2.5% · won 47% · +4.0±11.3 vs own baseline
  5. BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 6.4% · won 45% · +2.4±8.6 vs own baseline

Discovered sequences

Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Pablo Andujar wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.

  1. FH down the line → BH through the middle → FH crosscourt used 0.9% · won 48% · +4.2±11.6 vs own baseline · −2.6 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Gilles Simon (2/8)
  2. BH down the line → FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 0.6% · won 49% · +4.9±12.9 vs own baseline · +9.1 vs tour on the same sequence
  3. FH crosscourt → FH through the middle → FH down the line used 0.9% · won 47% · +3.1±11.7 vs own baseline · −3.0 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Gilles Simon (4/7)
  4. FH through the middle → BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 0.6% · won 46% · +2.5±12.8 vs own baseline · +2.8 vs tour on the same sequence
  5. FH crosscourt → FH down the line → BH crosscourt used 0.9% · won 46% · +2.0±11.8 vs own baseline · −1.0 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Benoit Paire (4/6)
  6. BH crosscourt → BH through the middle → FH crosscourt used 0.8% · won 45% · +1.8±12.1 vs own baseline · −5.5 vs tour on the same sequence

Strengths and vulnerabilities

Value per 100 shots compared with the average player hitting (strengths) or facing (vulnerabilities) the same shot. Only shot types seen at least 120 times.

Hurts opponents most with

FH to the middle · rally+2.9173
BH to the middle · return+2.1170
BH to the middle · rally+2.0226
FH to the middle · return+1.4155
FH to their forehand · serve +1+1.2142

Most exposed to

FH to their backhand · rally−4.4288
BH to their backhand · rally−2.1338
FH to their forehand · rally−2.0347
BH to the middle · return−2.0215
FH to the middle · rally−1.8154

Active players who are best at the shot in the top weakness: Adrian Andreev, Alex Molcan, Rafael Nadal, Hugo Gaston, Daniel Evans

Tactical fingerprint

Each bar shows how far a style trait is from the ATP average, in standard deviations.

1st serve in67%
Avg rally length4.7
FH down the line35%
Deep returns33%
Drop shots / shot2.6%
Points at net14%
Forehand share54%
Through the middle25%
Run-around forehands20%
BH down the line20%
Wide serves · deuce42%
Serve & volley4%
T serves · deuce42%
Point-ending shots20.9%
Wide serves · ad46%
Unforced errors / shot8.4%
Backhand slice10%
Chipped returns5%
T serves · ad31%

Plays most like

  1. Novak Djokovic 2005–2026 plan v
  2. Mikhail Kukushkin 2014–2022 plan v
  3. Pedro Martinez 2019–2026 plan v
  4. Valentin Vacherot 2024–2026 plan v
  5. Alex Michelsen 2023–2026 plan v
  6. Francisco Cerundolo 2020–2025 plan v
  7. Kei Nishikori 2011–2025 plan v
  8. Bernabe Zapata Miralles 2019–2024 plan v

Closest from another era

  1. Magnus Norman 2000–2001
  2. Andre Agassi 1988–2006
  3. Carlos Moya 1997–2007

Charted matches