RallyIQ

ATP · Right-handed · 25 charted matches · 1992–2001

Todd Martin

Archetype: Serve-and-volleyer · Net rusher

Against an average opponent

Serve points won 66.4% ±2.8 raw 65.1% · tour 63.4% · 2,692 points
Return points won 38.3% ±3.0 raw 33.9% · tour 36.6% · 2,740 points

Serve and return points won, refitted against every opponent at once so a record built on weak or strong opposition is put on the same scale. Career, all surfaces, with a 90% margin. Raw is the plain share of points won.

Value per 100 shots

Direction choice +0.03 ±0.11 better than 64% of ATP · raw +0.03
Shot selection +0.31 ±0.16 better than 81% of ATP · raw +0.31
Execution −0.61 ±0.46 better than 40% of ATP · raw −0.61
Tactical adaptability +0.16 first serves toward what's working, set to set · 24 matches
Adaptation speed +0.29 same, every two to three service games · per 100 first serves
Points left on the table 3.44 per 100 shots vs best direction · lower than 9% of ATP

Points gained per 100 shots compared with an average tour player in the same position, adjusted for the strength of the opponents faced, with a 90% margin (shots clustered by match). Raw is before the opponent adjustment. Built on 10,457 shots.

Shot expected value

The share of points Todd Martin goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side

position worth 46% to the average player · 346 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 34% 44.5%±7.0 47.6%
BH slice crosscourt 17% 31.9%±8.6 42.5%
BH through the middle 16% 47.0%±9.4 43.7%
BH down the line 15% 44.0%±9.7 46.4%
BH slice through the middle 8% 31.3%±11.0 35.1%
FH inside-out 3% 57.9%±14.8 51.8%
BH crosscourt + approach 3% 66.0%±14.2 69.0%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your forehand side

position worth 44% to the average player · 252 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 43% 45.2%±7.2 46.6%
FH through the middle 27% 41.2%±8.6 41.5%
FH down the line 25% 38.0%±8.7 44.7%
FH down the line + approach 4% 67.3%±13.9 69.3%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your middle

position worth 51% to the average player · 239 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 23% 50.7%±9.6 52.7%
BH crosscourt 19% 41.3%±10.0 49.1%
FH down the line 16% 41.2%±10.5 51.5%
FH through the middle 13% 37.3%±11.0 47.0%
BH through the middle 12% 50.8%±11.9 46.8%
BH down the line 5% 58.3%±14.3 48.3%

Return +1: drive to your backhand side

position worth 44% to the average player · 181 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 34% 41.2%±9.0 46.9%
BH slice crosscourt 25% 38.7%±9.9 40.9%
BH through the middle 13% 42.3%±12.3 43.0%
BH slice through the middle 13% 22.1%±10.4 32.6%
BH down the line 12% 48.4%±12.8 44.2%

Serve under pressure

Pressure predictability index −2 How much less varied Todd Martin's first-serve direction gets on break points. Positive means easier to read. Based on 190 break-point first serves.

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 43% 37% 80% / 73%
Body 10% 6% 64% / 63%
T 47% 57% ▲ 78% / 75%

1,327 normal · 49 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 44% 41% 72% / 73%
Body 12% 18% 62% / 63%
T 44% 41% 71% / 72%

1,105 normal · 141 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. No measurable response (−0.05 ± 0.15 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage), measured from ATP servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide42% 67.8%±3.1 n=583 39% ▼
Body10% 61.8%±6.1 n=140 0% ▼
T47% 67.9%±2.9 n=653 61% ▲

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.22).
Optimal mix: +0.7 per 100 first serves.

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide44% 62.9%±3.3 n=548 57% ▲
Body13% 57.2%±6.0 n=157 0% ▼
T43% 62.0%±3.3 n=541 43%

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.30).
Optimal mix: +0.6 per 100 first serves.

Exploitability 0.65 points per 100 first serves What the optimal mix would win over the current one, both courts. More exploitable than 100% of ATP servers. Tested on matches they weren't fitted on, ATP mixes picked this way win 0.33 per 100 first serves on average.

Repeating the previous direction to the same court: +4.3±3.3 points per 100 against switching. Negative means returners read repeats. Tour-wide, repeating costs women about 0.4 points per 100 and costs men nothing, so men's returners don't measurably anticipate direction. (1,100 repeats, 1,472 switches.)

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 86 42% +5.3±7.5
1stAd courtT 339 30% +1.6±3.9
1stAd courtWide 325 24% −3.5±3.7
1stDeuce courtBody 95 38% +0.9±7.1
1stDeuce courtT 326 24% −1.3±3.7
1stDeuce courtWide 411 22% −5.4±3.2
2ndAd courtBody 201 48% −1.8±5.4
2ndAd courtT 114 51% +1.3±6.9
2ndAd courtWide 199 43% −4.9±5.4
2ndDeuce courtBody 233 51% +1.8±5.1
2ndDeuce courtT 176 47% −2.7±5.7
2ndDeuce courtWide 151 44% −4.2±6.1

Signature patterns

Recurring sequences that win more than Todd Martin's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.

Serve → +1

  1. Wide serve (deuce court) → BH volley crosscourt used 2.1% · won 72% · +2.4±8.4 vs own baseline
  2. Wide serve (ad court) → BH volley down the line used 2.1% · won 66% · −4.2±8.9 vs own baseline
  3. Wide serve (ad court) → BH crosscourt used 2.5% · won 44% · −26.0±8.8 vs own baseline

Return

  1. vs T serve (deuce court) → BH through the middle, mid used 4.0% · won 49% · +14.4±8.0 vs own baseline
  2. vs T serve (ad court) → FH through the middle, mid used 3.7% · won 47% · +12.2±8.2 vs own baseline
  3. vs wide serve (deuce court) → FH crosscourt, mid used 3.2% · won 46% · +11.3±8.6 vs own baseline
  4. vs wide serve (ad court) → BH crosscourt, short used 2.1% · won 48% · +13.0±9.9 vs own baseline
  5. vs wide serve (ad court) → BH crosscourt, mid used 4.1% · won 44% · +9.1±7.9 vs own baseline

Rally, consecutive own shots

  1. FH through the middle → FH crosscourt used 3.4% · won 52% · +9.8±10.7 vs own baseline
  2. FH crosscourt → BH down the line used 2.3% · won 51% · +9.2±11.7 vs own baseline
  3. FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 5.3% · won 48% · +5.4±9.4 vs own baseline
  4. BH through the middle → BH crosscourt used 2.7% · won 45% · +2.5±11.3 vs own baseline
  5. BH through the middle → FH crosscourt used 3.9% · won 44% · +1.7±10.3 vs own baseline

Discovered sequences

Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Todd Martin wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.

  1. BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt → BH through the middle used 0.5% · won 52% · +4.6±12.4 vs own baseline · +12.6 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Andre Agassi (1/6)
  2. FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt → FH crosscourt used 0.9% · won 51% · +3.3±10.7 vs own baseline · +4.1 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Andre Agassi (2/7)
  3. BH crosscourt → BH slice crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 0.4% · won 52% · +4.8±13.0 vs own baseline · +8.0 vs tour on the same sequence
  4. FH down the line → BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 0.4% · won 50% · +2.3±12.7 vs own baseline · +4.0 vs tour on the same sequence
  5. Wide serve → BH slice crosscourt return, mid → BH crosscourt used 0.5% · won 48% · +1.2±12.5 vs own baseline · −1.5 vs tour on the same sequence
  6. BH through the middle → FH down the line → BH crosscourt used 0.5% · won 48% · +1.2±12.5 vs own baseline · +3.3 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Mikael Pernfors (4/6)

Strengths and vulnerabilities

Value per 100 shots compared with the average player hitting (strengths) or facing (vulnerabilities) the same shot. Only shot types seen at least 120 times.

Hurts opponents most with

FH to their forehand · return+3.8251
BH to their backhand · return+2.5347
T 1st serve · deuce court+2.0653
Wide 1st serve · deuce court+2.0583
BH to their backhand · serve +1+1.8159

Most exposed to

FH to their backhand · serve +1−3.6194
FH to their backhand · return +1−3.2142
FH to their forehand · serve +1−3.0187
FH to their backhand · return−1.6238
BH to their forehand · rally−1.4162

Active players who are best at the shot in the top weakness: Stefanos Tsitsipas, Brandon Nakashima, Rinky Hijikata, Thiago Seyboth Wild, Jannik Sinner

Tactical fingerprint

Each bar shows how far a style trait is from the ATP average, in standard deviations.

Serve & volley50%
Point-ending shots34.3%
Points at net22%
Unforced errors / shot12.4%
BH down the line24%
T serves · ad43%
Backhand slice28%
T serves · deuce47%
FH down the line30%
Wide serves · deuce42%
1st serve in60%
Run-around forehands13%
Chipped returns9%
Through the middle22%
Wide serves · ad44%
Drop shots / shot0.4%
Forehand share48%
Deep returns15%
Avg rally length2.9

Plays most like

  1. Malivai Washington 1992–1996 plan v
  2. Mark Philippoussis 1995–2003 plan v
  3. David Wheaton 1990–1994 plan v
  4. Pete Sampras 1990–2002 plan v
  5. Michael Stich 1990–1997 plan v
  6. Boris Becker 1985–1999 plan v
  7. Guy Forget 1991–1996 plan v
  8. Jonas Bjorkman 1997–2006 plan v

Closest from another era

  1. Sam Querrey 2010–2022
  2. Mischa Zverev 2013–2020
  3. Jan Lennard Struff 2014–2025

Charted matches