RallyIQ

ATP · Right-handed · 22 charted matches · 2003–2022

Tommy Robredo

Archetype: Rallies through the middle · Crosscourt backhand

Against an average opponent

Serve points won 63.3% ±2.9 raw 58.2% · tour 63.4% · 1,765 points
Return points won 38.4% ±2.9 raw 34.3% · tour 36.6% · 1,650 points

Serve and return points won, refitted against every opponent at once so a record built on weak or strong opposition is put on the same scale. Career, all surfaces, with a 90% margin. Raw is the plain share of points won.

Value per 100 shots

Direction choice −0.20 ±0.15 better than 15% of ATP · raw −0.20
Shot selection −0.06 ±0.19 better than 47% of ATP · raw −0.07
Execution −0.15 ±0.50 better than 60% of ATP · raw −0.35
Tactical adaptability −0.01 first serves toward what's working, set to set · 22 matches
Adaptation speed +0.05 same, every two to three service games · per 100 first serves
Points left on the table 2.83 per 100 shots vs best direction · lower than 28% of ATP

Points gained per 100 shots compared with an average tour player in the same position, adjusted for the strength of the opponents faced, with a 90% margin (shots clustered by match). Raw is before the opponent adjustment. Built on 9,161 shots.

Shot expected value

The share of points Tommy Robredo goes on to win after each option in the positions they face most often, shrunk toward tour average when the sample is small. Showing the 8 most-used options; teal marks the best one with at least 30 shots.

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your backhand side

position worth 46% to the average player · 740 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 28% 44.0%±5.5 47.6%
BH through the middle 24% 38.6%±5.7 43.7%
FH inside-out 13% 52.5%±7.7 51.8%
FH inside-in 9% 61.8%±8.7 54.7%
BH down the line 7% 44.4%±9.4 46.4%
BH slice crosscourt 6% 36.0%±9.6 42.5%
BH slice through the middle 6% 28.2%±9.2 35.1%
FH through the middle 4% 44.3%±11.3 45.2%

Long rally, 9+: drive to your backhand side

position worth 46% to the average player · 445 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
BH crosscourt 26% 55.7%±7.1 48.0%
BH through the middle 21% 47.6%±7.7 43.8%
BH slice crosscourt 11% 37.2%±9.4 42.1%
BH slice through the middle 11% 37.4%±9.7 35.1%
FH inside-out 10% 51.6%±10.2 52.6%
BH down the line 9% 41.5%±10.4 46.5%
FH inside-in 5% 58.8%±12.2 54.3%
BH slice down the line 3% 40.5%±13.6 35.8%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your middle

position worth 51% to the average player · 411 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 34% 51.0%±6.5 52.7%
FH down the line 28% 58.6%±6.9 51.5%
FH through the middle 23% 42.8%±7.7 47.0%
BH through the middle 5% 43.7%±12.6 46.8%
BH crosscourt 5% 43.1%±13.0 49.1%
FH crosscourt + approach 2% 69.9%±13.8 69.9%
FH down the line + approach 2% 73.7%±13.2 70.5%

Rally, shots 5–8: drive to your forehand side

position worth 44% to the average player · 392 shots

OptionUsedWin %Tour
FH crosscourt 38% 38.5%±6.2 46.6%
FH through the middle 26% 47.4%±7.5 41.5%
FH down the line 22% 40.0%±7.9 44.7%
FH slice through the middle 6% 26.5%±10.8 24.5%
FH slice crosscourt 4% 24.1%±12.1 30.9%
FH down the line + approach 3% 69.5%±13.8 69.3%
FH slice down the line 3% 17.1%±11.3 25.6%

Serve under pressure

Pressure predictability index +2 How much less varied Tommy Robredo's first-serve direction gets on break points. Positive means easier to read. Based on 177 break-point first serves.

Deuce court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 47% 32% ▼ 70% / 73%
Body 17% 24% 59% / 63%
T 37% 43% 71% / 75%

856 normal · 37 break-point 1st serves

Ad court

1st serveUsageBreak ptWon when in
Wide 54% 57% 64% / 73%
Body 15% 13% 61% / 63%
T 31% 30% 65% / 72%

701 normal · 140 break-point 1st serves

Is the serve mix in equilibrium?

Game theory says a well-mixed server wins equally often with every direction they use. If one direction wins more, it's underused and points are being left behind. This is the minimax test Walker and Wooders ran on Wimbledon finals, applied to every charted first serve. Win rates include faults. "Optimal" allows for returners reading a habit. No measurable response (−0.05 ± 0.15 points per 100 serves for every 10 points of habitual usage), measured from ATP servers whose mix drifted between matches. Shifts stay within the range servers' habits actually vary, the only range that response was measured over.

Deuce court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide46% 59.2%±3.9 n=411 59% ▲
Body17% 56.3%±6.0 n=153 4% ▼
T37% 58.1%±4.3 n=329 37%

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.75).
Optimal mix: +0.4 per 100 first serves.

Ad court

1st serveUsagePoints wonOptimal
Wide55% 56.4%±3.7 n=460 42% ▼
Body15% 58.4%±6.6 n=123 14%
T31% 60.6%±4.7 n=258 44% ▲

Consistent with an optimal mix (p = 0.46).
Optimal mix: +0.5 per 100 first serves.

Exploitability 0.46 points per 100 first serves What the optimal mix would win over the current one, both courts. More exploitable than 100% of ATP servers. Tested on matches they weren't fitted on, ATP mixes picked this way win 0.33 per 100 first serves on average.

Repeating the previous direction to the same court: −2.2±3.5 points per 100 against switching. Negative means returners read repeats. Tour-wide, repeating costs women about 0.4 points per 100 and costs men nothing, so men's returners don't measurably anticipate direction. (643 repeats, 1,047 switches.)

Return by serve direction

Return points won against each serve direction, compared with the tour average.

ServeCourtDirectionPointsWonvs tour
1stAd courtBody 35 40% +3.2±10.0
1stAd courtT 157 31% +2.7±5.5
1stAd courtWide 260 28% +0.8±4.3
1stDeuce courtBody 42 39% +2.2±9.5
1stDeuce courtT 233 21% −3.6±4.2
1stDeuce courtWide 246 24% −3.2±4.2
2ndAd courtBody 51 54% +4.7±9.1
2ndAd courtT 43 59% +9.3±9.5
2ndAd courtWide 224 44% −4.9±5.1
2ndDeuce courtBody 100 51% +1.5±7.2
2ndDeuce courtT 166 45% −4.3±5.8
2ndDeuce courtWide 66 37% −11.2±8.1

Signature patterns

Recurring sequences that win more than Tommy Robredo's own baseline, ranked by edge weighted by how often they're used.

Serve → +1

  1. Wide serve (ad court) → FH inside-in used 3.4% · won 61% · ±0.0±9.0 vs own baseline
  2. Wide serve (ad court) → FH inside-out used 2.8% · won 60% · −1.5±9.5 vs own baseline
  3. Wide serve (deuce court) → BH through the middle used 2.0% · won 57% · −4.6±10.6 vs own baseline
  4. T serve (ad court) → FH down the line used 2.5% · won 57% · −4.6±10.0 vs own baseline
  5. Wide serve (deuce court) → FH down the line used 5.0% · won 57% · −4.0±7.9 vs own baseline

Return

  1. vs wide serve (ad court) → FH inside-out, mid used 3.3% · won 48% · +13.2±10.7 vs own baseline
  2. vs wide serve (ad court) → BH crosscourt, mid used 7.1% · won 44% · +8.3±8.3 vs own baseline
  3. vs wide serve (deuce court) → FH through the middle, mid used 3.2% · won 41% · +5.4±10.6 vs own baseline
  4. vs wide serve (deuce court) → FH through the middle, deep used 2.3% · won 41% · +5.9±11.5 vs own baseline
  5. vs T serve (ad court) → FH through the middle, mid used 2.7% · won 40% · +4.7±11.0 vs own baseline

Rally, consecutive own shots

  1. FH inside-out → FH inside-in used 1.1% · won 61% · +15.8±11.4 vs own baseline
  2. FH down the line → FH crosscourt used 2.7% · won 53% · +7.3±9.3 vs own baseline
  3. FH down the line → FH down the line used 1.4% · won 55% · +9.4±11.2 vs own baseline
  4. FH inside-out → FH crosscourt used 1.1% · won 55% · +9.8±11.6 vs own baseline
  5. FH inside-in → FH down the line used 1.3% · won 53% · +7.7±11.4 vs own baseline

Discovered sequences

Mined from every me → opponent → me run of three shots, with no templates. Ranked by how much more often Tommy Robredo wins the point once the sequence happens, weighted by how often it happens. Think of them as chess openings.

  1. FH inside-out → BH crosscourt → FH inside-in used 0.6% · won 64% · +18.4±10.9 vs own baseline · +25.3 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Andy Murray (11/14)
  2. FH down the line → BH crosscourt → FH inside-in used 0.4% · won 56% · +9.9±12.6 vs own baseline · +15.5 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Andy Murray (4/6)
  3. FH down the line → BH crosscourt → BH crosscourt used 1.1% · won 51% · +5.2±9.3 vs own baseline · +4.9 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Marat Safin (5/9), Roger Federer (14/23)
  4. Body serve → BH through the middle return, mid → FH down the line used 0.6% · won 53% · +6.8±11.4 vs own baseline · +7.6 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Roger Federer (8/13)
  5. Wide serve → BH crosscourt return, mid → FH inside-in used 0.4% · won 53% · +7.2±12.1 vs own baseline · +1.6 vs tour on the same sequence Disrupted by Roger Federer (3/7), Andy Murray (3/6)
  6. FH down the line → BH slice crosscourt → FH inside-out used 0.5% · won 52% · +6.1±12.0 vs own baseline · +4.2 vs tour on the same sequence

Strengths and vulnerabilities

Value per 100 shots compared with the average player hitting (strengths) or facing (vulnerabilities) the same shot. Only shot types seen at least 120 times.

Hurts opponents most with

Body 1st serve · deuce court+1.8153
BH slice to their backhand · rally+1.3129
FH to their forehand · rally+1.2607
BH to the middle · rally+0.9351
BH to the middle · return+0.7268

Most exposed to

FH to their backhand · serve +1−1.8286
FH to their backhand · return +1−1.5182
BH to their backhand · return−1.3362
FH to their backhand · rally−1.3637
FH to the middle · return−1.3259

Active players who are best at the shot in the top weakness: Stefanos Tsitsipas, Brandon Nakashima, Rinky Hijikata, Thiago Seyboth Wild, Jannik Sinner

Tactical fingerprint

Each bar shows how far a style trait is from the ATP average, in standard deviations.

Run-around forehands38%
Forehand share60%
1st serve in66%
Through the middle28%
Avg rally length4.4
Wide serves · ad55%
Chipped returns22%
Wide serves · deuce46%
Backhand slice22%
FH down the line30%
Serve & volley1%
Unforced errors / shot8.8%
BH down the line17%
Drop shots / shot0.7%
Points at net8%
Deep returns22%
Point-ending shots19.6%
T serves · ad31%
T serves · deuce37%

Plays most like

  1. Radu Albot 2016–2024 plan v
  2. Casper Ruud 2017–2026 plan v
  3. Dusan Lajovic 2014–2025 plan v
  4. Roberto Bautista Agut 2013–2026 plan v
  5. Tennys Sandgren 2014–2021 plan v
  6. Carlos Moya 1997–2007 plan v
  7. Hugo Dellien 2019–2023 plan v
  8. Pablo Carreno Busta 2015–2026 plan v

Closest from another era

  1. Jim Courier 1989–1999
  2. Sergi Bruguera 1990–1997
  3. Andre Agassi 1988–2006

Charted matches